phlwx Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 The GFS as well as the EC (above) show 90's for Wednesday and Thursday, perhaps Friday before a fropa moves through. The GFS MOS has 96 for Thursday PM and the EC supports heat as well (20 C+ 850's)....this is a pretty significant reversal from what the models were showing a couple of days ago (80's and generally seasonable). The one thing, unlike last week, is that the 500 mb heights are not as high (580's as opposed to a 590ish setup). I'm not so keen on the GFS MOS verifying unless we get a toasty west/southwest wind on Thursday PM but another run into the 90's are definitely doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted June 5, 2011 Share Posted June 5, 2011 The GFS as well as the EC (above) show 90's for Wednesday and Thursday, perhaps Friday before a fropa moves through. The GFS MOS has 96 for Thursday PM and the EC supports heat as well (20 C+ 850's)....this is a pretty significant reversal from what the models were showing a couple of days ago (80's and generally seasonable). The one thing, unlike last week, is that the 500 mb heights are not as high (580's as opposed to a 590ish setup). I'm not so keen on the GFS MOS verifying unless we get a toasty west/southwest wind on Thursday PM but another run into the 90's are definitely doable. Am I hiding my enthusiasm about this occurring well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 5, 2011 Author Share Posted June 5, 2011 Am I hiding my enthusiasm about this occurring well? winterwarlock will make up for that for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 6, 2011 Author Share Posted June 6, 2011 yeah...gfs keeps bringing it...97 on Thurs now. Favorable downslope torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 yeah...gfs keeps bringing it...97 on Thurs now. Favorable downslope torch? awesome, this stable marine flow is almost as lame as the Phillies offense Hopefully by Thurs we're making a run at triple digits, not out of the question with that oven currently to the south & west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 heat buster friday, relief by the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 F me.. 97 on Thursday? let me just tell you how i feel about this weather: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 6, 2011 Author Share Posted June 6, 2011 heat buster friday, relief by the weekend stalled front, perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 stalled front, perhaps? yea the 0z euro is dumping some good rains on the area from sat to tues of the following week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 yea the 0z euro is dumping some good rains on the area from sat to tues of the following week That agrees with the tropical teleconnections, as well (SOI + MJO) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 Just rain or thunderstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 latest MEX MOS for Wed / Thurs PHL - 97 / 97 NE Philly - 97 / 99 Doylestown - 95 / 98 Quakertown - 96 / 97 Pottstown - 97 / 96 Trenton - 95 / 97 Mt Holly - 96 / 98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 My kingdom for a day of rain.......ground is so hard and dry its ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted June 6, 2011 Share Posted June 6, 2011 latest MEX MOS for Wed / Thurs nasty, glad its short lived again. heat warnings are up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 6, 2011 Author Share Posted June 6, 2011 latest MEX MOS for Wed / Thurs PHL - 97 / 97 NE Philly - 97 / 99 Doylestown - 95 / 98 Quakertown - 96 / 97 Pottstown - 97 / 96 Trenton - 95 / 97 Mt Holly - 96 / 98 So much for Thursday being the hottest...it could end up being Wednesday at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 winterwarlock will make up for that for you. I most certainly will, the summer season is off to a fine start, I just hope it can clear up for a sunny weekend at least on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 100 on Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 100 on Thursday? Potential is there, no rain in some spots in almost 2 1/2 weeks plus 850s hovering around 20-21 C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 We have had .06" of rain here over the past 17 days. That is ridiculous. I hate this hot and humid weather....can't wait for Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 Potential is there, no rain in some spots in almost 2 1/2 weeks plus 850s hovering around 20-21 C. Hopefully the forecasts are right at 96-98; we don't need 100 so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 Hopefully the forecasts are right at 96-98; we don't need 100 so early. It's dry enough to support it so far it's dry begets dry as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 Yeah, quit putting the heat hype out to the public. Just a whine from Lady Di, who works in HVAC- the service calls and new installs have the pattern pretty full through the 22nd of this month already. To be expected this time of year as I well know. I just needed to gripe about the TV mets with heat warnings-----WHEN it's currently a WATCH! And using the word heat wave when clearly we may not hit 90 for the 3 days. It's not 90 today and it's not forecast to hit 90 on Friday. Folks are more demanding, sometimes completely unbearable, for air conditioning in these parts moreso than heat. /End rant. Thank you for listening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 Yeah, quit putting the heat hype out to the public. Just a whine from Lady Di, who works in HVAC- the service calls and new installs have the pattern pretty full through the 22nd of this month already. To be expected this time of year as I well know. I just needed to gripe about the TV mets with heat warnings-----WHEN it's currently a WATCH! And using the word heat wave when clearly we may not hit 90 for the 3 days. It's not 90 today and it's not forecast to hit 90 on Friday. Folks are more demanding, sometimes completely unbearable, for air conditioning in these parts moreso than heat. /End rant. Thank you for listening. Local philly mets love to hype, like it's so unusual for philly to hit 90 in summer...lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 7, 2011 Author Share Posted June 7, 2011 Yeah, quit putting the heat hype out to the public. Just a whine from Lady Di, who works in HVAC- the service calls and new installs have the pattern pretty full through the 22nd of this month already. To be expected this time of year as I well know. I just needed to gripe about the TV mets with heat warnings-----WHEN it's currently a WATCH! And using the word heat wave when clearly we may not hit 90 for the 3 days. It's not 90 today and it's not forecast to hit 90 on Friday. Folks are more demanding, sometimes completely unbearable, for air conditioning in these parts moreso than heat. /End rant. Thank you for listening. Meh. The "heat wave" definition is overrated in July since the average high is 87. The problem is that the city (1.5 mil people) mostly live in brick, non ac'd homes...so those places are basically convection ovens during the summer while it gets above 90. Compound it with the heat island at night and those places don't really cool off. Needless to say, the heat wave chatter is needed considering a large percentage of the city lacks AC. The vast majority of us have it...but you gotta think about those that don't...and it's a sizable chunk of population even now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 7, 2011 Author Share Posted June 7, 2011 heat warnings out for the immediate DV. Advisories north to the Lehigh/Berks corridor and also for Central Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 I believe we had this debate last summer....is "90" a big deal around here? I still use 90 as the marker for "heat" around here. Now, if i was living from about DCA, southward I'd put it at 95 degrees. Oh well, the debate will carry on, I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 It's dry enough to support it so far it's dry begets dry as of late. However, it's rare, so I'd be cautious in forecasting it. I think it should be 3 days 93+ to be a heat wave; 90 is nothing special anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 I believe we had this debate last summer....is "90" a big deal around here? I still use 90 as the marker for "heat" around here. Now, if i was living from about DCA, southward I'd put it at 95 degrees. Oh well, the debate will carry on, I'm sure. I would say for philly and wilmington it should be at least 92 to be called hot and in the cooler burbs 90 is still considered hot. I say that because philly hits 90 way more (maybe twice as much) as say chester county and of course the nights are much warmer but that's off the subject. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 7, 2011 Share Posted June 7, 2011 glenn is going 100 for wed and 101 thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 7, 2011 Author Share Posted June 7, 2011 IMO, heat index of 95+ should be the criteria of a heat wave. Three days of 90 with no humidity is warm but not intolerable. Three days of high 80's + dewps in the 70's sucks worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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