TalcottWx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Storm is holding up well and about to cross over the lakes... Likely this will effect areas of SNE with strong thunderstorms and at least a light show.. A rarity around these parts.. Discuss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 This really isn't a rarity, this usually happens several times throughout the course of a summer, the "rare" part of may be the time of year though, usually these things are much more common the deeper you go into summer but they can happen this time of year. Models continue to be pretty unstable with lots of elevated instability through much of the region overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Ryan says garden variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Ryan says garden variety. It will be very hard to get svr wind around here with such a steep inversion developing but it could be one hell of a light show if things hold together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 It will be very hard to get svr wind around here with such a steep inversion developing but it could be one hell of a light show if things hold together The best severe threat would be from hail but even then hail should remain below 1''. Surprised though there is no watch for western NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 The best severe threat would be from hail but even then hail should remain below 1''. Surprised though there is no watch for western NY. There are warnings out in Western NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 The best severe threat would be from hail but even then hail should remain below 1''. Surprised though there is no watch for western NY. just issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 There are warnings out in Western NY Which is why I was wondering about the watch but there is one now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Which is why I was wondering about the watch but there is one now. Yeah I was wondering what they were waiting for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Which is why I was wondering about the watch but there is one now. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 couple showers around 5 am maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 I could see a severe threat potentially extending to the CT border, depending on how this thing tracks...perhaps even western CT but like Ryan said, inversion here would really make it hard for winds to come down. Models do show it fairly unstable through the night, even at the sfc where there is no inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 couple showers around 5 am maybe? don't forget the isolated flash of lightning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Other cells really trying to fire just out ahead of it as well. Whole thing continues to look pretty awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 they look like they're becoming more organized and forming into a nice line instead of more fragmented cells. Nice bow echo, I'd love to be at the front of that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Thing still looking pretty impressive with a good deal of surfaced-based instability still across much of NY/PA...it vastly decreases here but still a good deal of elevated instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Thing still looking pretty impressive with a good deal of surfaced-based instability still across much of NY/PA...it vastly decreases here but still a good deal of elevated instability. Hey Paul, you find any surface obs in those lines? All I found was a gust to 36 kts in Jamestown, PA SORRY, 36 MPH (EDIT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Thing still looking pretty impressive with a good deal of surfaced-based instability still across much of NY/PA...it vastly decreases here but still a good deal of elevated instability. Heres the problem, difference between KBUF and CHH, inversion will probably inhibit any winds but as Ryan says could be a light show early AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Hey Paul, you find any surface obs in those lines? All I found was a gust to 36 kts in Jamestown, PA I've found nothing either but just above the sfc winds are pretty damn strong...80 knots up around 10K...that's sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Heres the problem, difference between KBUF and CHH, inversion will probably inhibit any winds but as Ryan says could be a light show early AM yeah I don't think we'll have much of a wind threat...mainly just lightning...perhaps some hail depending on the strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 oh boy, part fell apart there huh nevermind, got a bad radar frame for a second it was old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 This is looking very impressive over CNY, why the lack of talk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 This is looking very impressive over CNY, why the lack of talk? Inversion here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Decent amount of reports out of western NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Goodmorning Southern New England, and happy Memorial Day! Incoming Storms baby, should be a nice light show!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 wont be here until the sun is up Goodmorning Southern New England, and happy Memorial Day! Incoming Storms baby, should be a nice light show!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Where the heck is Paul??????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Storms intensifying as they enter nw NJ and the lower Hudson Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Really not looking bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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