TellicoWx
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Everything posted by TellicoWx
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Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Forrest Service usually shuts it down during an event (turn cars around at Indian Boundary entrance)..TDOT will put up the big road closed signs that block the road -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Current totals here..Mt Vernon/Belltown area 5.5" (still moderate snow), Coker Creek 6.2" (moderate snow)..Tellico 3" (flurries lol)...difference those bands make -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nice band setup just outside town -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Still hammering here -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pic from my sister in Madisonville -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ripping snow here...roads have coating of slush -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There's the energy...as it lifts NE should pop the low..Hwy 411 up the valley looks to be the divide line between 2-3" and 3"+ roughly -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Front just went thru Sweetwater...should be approaching Hwy 411 corridor -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Noticed spring city was down to 37..wind gusted close to 40 mph as arctic front came thru -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Skies dark enough here that it activated the street lights -
Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
When you couple the dynamics/orographic lift/and models typically having a hard time "seeing" low level moisture...think a lot more of the area may bust higher after the initial thump- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Would have really liked to see the 0z Euro hold steady vs 18z (Knox/south)...MRX prob won't change anything as far as the advisories/warnings (except maybe move the warning a county to the west).- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
00z Euro cut about an inch off my totals vs 18z, but overall similar setup- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Glancing at the 0z suite, looks like the ARW and HRRR were the only ones to get the front placement right vs current ground conditions. All the globals and NAM were slower vs reality- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
1/2" Hail report as line went thru Selmer, TN- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Don't let @McMinnWx see the CMC lol jk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
If you loop all the 0z models at the same time frame, the LP placement is very close amongst all them...it's progressive bias is at longer range.- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Something to remember also about the GFS, it has a big convective feedback bias...could affect it's modeling of the precip shield- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Goofy decides to join the crowd- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's pretty much a choice of err on side of public safety or catch twitter heat for being wrong if the warning busts. Think that was why they pulled the warning even tho the criteria wasn't quite met earlier this afternoon for NE TN (it was where they were confident the most travel impact would be regardless of how the models shifted tonight)- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Great point, and why I think MRX pulls the trigger on upgrades with the 4 am update. If it was a regular day, I think they wait until 6z/12z runs...but with it being Christmas Eve travel, it doesn't really give that leeway to inform the public- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, that was what I was meaning...0% chance it will be sooner- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
They are not going to make a call until the entire 0z suite runs is my guess. Wouldn't be surprised if they delay the AFD, due to waiting on the 0z Euro- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Front just literally blew thru Memphis with a gust close to 60 mph close to 60 mph...temps crashing now- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Tornado watches being hoisted in MS/LA now- 847 replies
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