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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    Light dusting on the deck with small flakes falling...temp down to 33
  2. TellicoWx
    Woke up to a surprise from MRX...added to the WWA (even tho I'm not quite sure of the logic behind the expansion). As far as winter weather headlines...added Monroe and the mountain zone of Polk County to the advisory for consistency with FFC as well as increased snow totals in those areas.
  3. TellicoWx
    And this evening's GEFS lucky bingo snowmaggedon lottery number is........G12. And thanks for playing everyone.
  4. TellicoWx
    18z GEFS mean
  5. TellicoWx
    Something interesting, my area (Tellico) usually does very poorly in NWSF events (Skyway is completely different story) due to the topography here (town almost sits in a bowl). MRX very rarely puts more than .5" on their maps for here due to this. So for them to go with 1"-2", it tells me they are currently expecting an unusually higher end NWSF event.
  6. TellicoWx
    Considering it's coming from MRX, The CMC, ECMWF, and some ensemble members suggest surface low pressure development in the Gulf and progression to our south and east Saturday into Sunday. If this occurs, the potential exists for widespread, and potentially impactful, snowfall accumulation across the area.
  7. TellicoWx
    GEFS #19 may have skewed the mean slightly lol
  8. TellicoWx
    Pic of the Cherokee National Forest above Tellico this afternoon
  9. TellicoWx
    0z GEFS doesn't agree with it..LA/C MS accum is from tonight..rest is the system during that time from..nice 2" mean back thru AL
  10. TellicoWx
    0z GFS still had the energy, just shoved it to Cuba
  11. TellicoWx
    0z HRRR (vs current reports/radar)....NWS Jackson, Ms had to expand their WSW..WWA expanded across N. MS as well..said speed of system was quicker than anticipated. Alot of sleet reports across N. Al
  12. TellicoWx
    As we get closer...modeling is slowly ticking upwards for southern middle TN/plateau..may squeeze out an inch from it. 0z RGEM picking up on the increase in moisture
  13. TellicoWx
    Considering it's 7 days out...fairly decent agreement at 500 with placement between GFS/CMC at 12/18z..Euro may be hanging the energy back in the SW..just something to watch.
  14. TellicoWx
    12z CMC had something as well during that timeframe
  15. TellicoWx
    Yeah..day 8/10 timeframe keeps popping up on various members last few runs. 18z GEFS had more variability among the members for that time roughly
  16. TellicoWx
    Not a bad looking snow mean for the entire forum on the 12z GEFS
  17. TellicoWx
    Hopefully you guys can squeeze a little more out tomorrow and maybe won't be too long for the next system
  18. TellicoWx
    Skyway has turned into a skating rink here
  19. TellicoWx
    Better late than never lol...finally have wet flurries falling with a temp of 32.4...only about 20hrs behind schedule.
  20. TellicoWx
    Buddy sent me this from up on the Skyway...TN side roads are clear, NC side doesn't plow or brine theirs.
  21. TellicoWx
    38° here, not looking for much of anything here...congrats to those who scored, and good luck to those to the north
  22. TellicoWx
    Something interesting about the GFS OP...even the 18z GEFS doesn't agree with it (picked up the southern middle TN snow). Usually this close an OP and ENS doesn't disagree this much. Just thought it was interesting. 18z GEFS
  23. TellicoWx
    HRRR never picked up the snowfall south of Nashville until 22z really...if I was on the southern plateau (Crossville south), I would be really happy...wouldn't be surprised to see some very hefty amounts there.
  24. TellicoWx
    Problems being reported all over southern middle TN on the roads (snow covered) as sunsets.
  25. TellicoWx
    Signal Mtn switched over straight from rain to snow (no mix) about an hour ago. Roads in Hohenwald beginning to be a problem as sunsets (snow covered)
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