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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    this is really on a knife's edge. the GEPS shifting that much gives the GFS camp some credence
  2. brooklynwx99
    northern stream is trying more
  3. brooklynwx99
    GEFS looks better too
  4. brooklynwx99
    GFS is phasing
  5. brooklynwx99
    GFS is phasing
  6. brooklynwx99
    CMC with the fattest cave i’ve seen in a while
  7. brooklynwx99
    pretty phased here. going to bomb
  8. brooklynwx99
    lol you couldn’t be more incorrect
  9. brooklynwx99
    why would that one very specific interaction be a result of climate change directly?
  10. brooklynwx99
    EPS is making good changes here
  11. brooklynwx99
    they aren’t all that different… can easily get the ECMWF to a GFS-like bomb
  12. brooklynwx99
    yup, stronger block is leading to more of that last NS piece getting displaced south
  13. brooklynwx99
    way more consolidated. this is an even lower than normal confidence setup when even the ENS are flopping around like this
  14. brooklynwx99
    way more consolidated. this is an even lower than normal confidence setup when even the ENS are flopping around like this
  15. brooklynwx99
    way more consolidated. this is an even lower than normal confidence setup when even the ENS are flopping around like this
  16. brooklynwx99
    not all that different, just disjointed. within the range of error at this lead time
  17. brooklynwx99
    I guess. this kind of setup with confluence leading in along with a 50/50 offshore argue against a true cutter. maybe a runner / transfer, but even that will still bring potentially heavy snow at some point in the evolution. especially with a bomb
  18. brooklynwx99
    cutter? the 06z GFS is a cutter to you?
  19. brooklynwx99
    indeed… better than the 18z run as well. disregarding the OP shift for now, though it definitely remains in the envelope of solutions
  20. brooklynwx99
    this has pretty much every box checked off synoptically: phasing trough over the OH Valley, decaying west based -NAO, huge, slow moving 50/50, and antecedent cold air just a matter of how it all comes together
  21. brooklynwx99
    this has pretty much every box checked off synoptically: phasing trough over the OH Valley, decaying west based -NAO, huge, slow moving 50/50, and antecedent cold air just a matter of how it all comes together
  22. brooklynwx99
    this has pretty much every box checked off synoptically: phasing trough over the OH Valley, decaying west based -NAO, huge, slow moving 50/50, and antecedent cold air just a matter of how it all comes together
  23. brooklynwx99
    EPS has some retrograding Scandi ridging going on which is always nice when trying to reload a -NAO
  24. brooklynwx99
    also this exact event is why people shouldn't fret over ENSO. some of you guys might have half of your yearly average by Jan 6 while north of 78 smokes cirrus as we're heading into a favorable pattern. I kinda love the irony
  25. brooklynwx99
    yeah we just need to keep seeing that interaction. i thought the GFS was smoking crack but the EPS honking makes me feel better about it
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