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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    yeah I'm still at 96 but it actually looks snowier than the GFS. It's still faster though. Feel like slower has where the primo runs have been maybe there is a meet in the middle that's a good outcome for us? just weenie spitballing
  2. NorthArlington101
    We’ll get a KU next year because nothing makes sense anymore
  3. NorthArlington101
    Hate to be that guy but that’s worse than 06z, which was good and we mostly ignored. I’d still take it obviously!
  4. NorthArlington101
    I haven’t been checking the UKIE much but I feel like that’s the best map I’ve seen anyone post of it this storm
  5. NorthArlington101
    I feel like it's been February for a month already. Bust
  6. NorthArlington101
    I've done this in the past 24 hours -- think you might be thinking this is the LR thread. I'm talking Valentine's Day. Hit the 2nd thread and we can find out if the jinx is truly magic (unlikely but not impossible) or we burn it before the real threat window
  7. NorthArlington101
    this seems like the time to do it... can't hurt to test it. We've got our best model wobbling but other things slowly trending better... it's not over but it's bleak and needs some magic.
  8. NorthArlington101
    EPS ens look a tick better just looking at the snow mean/median. Mean in DC is ~1”, median is a T. Both of those are up. Not exactly amazing numbers lol, but still trending friendlier.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Was just coming here to say this - looked slower and diggier. Couldn’t hurt
  10. NorthArlington101
    It’s much improved from 00z actually. Euro continued to shift to the southern trend last night. Not surprised the GFS bounces around a bit. Is the most likely outcome we’re screwed in DC? Probably. I’d be pretty happy in Philly, lol. But it’s not over
  11. NorthArlington101
    EURO is like a 75 mile jump south. Only really helps PSU as it stands… but still moving towards GFS.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Ends up being a relatively minor bump south on the snow mean… but better than nothing for sure
  13. NorthArlington101
    GEFS maps are a lot uglier but really it’s just drier… maybe a bit north which I guess we can’t afford either
  14. NorthArlington101
    No disagreement there Anyway - thru 96 it seems unlikely to me the GEFS is a significant cave.
  15. NorthArlington101
    If it's going at 1"+ hour rates like the run had it, that'll end up incorrect. Especially for northern spots where it kicks off between 7-10am. Probably not relevant anyway. But the snow depth map has sucked ass the 3 events we had this year. Gotta blend it with other, equally bad snow maps at least
  16. NorthArlington101
    the vort pass was norther - but the shifts are quite modest. a shift like we got in the last 48 hours of our last storm would be a difference maker. and we've got 120 to go lol
  17. NorthArlington101
    points for the compromise crew... don't want this to compromise any further north
  18. NorthArlington101
    It's further north but we still get a good hit.
  19. NorthArlington101
    surface looks to be modestly colder than last run thru 117... might help when it still hopefully flips us to snow i'd trust @stormtracker has the more relevant info - he's always ahead
  20. NorthArlington101
    LP is a little more than a hair further north and stronger at 105 before it starts trying to transfer. Idk how much it'll matter, in all honesty
  21. NorthArlington101
    Idk if you are actually that far ahead but I'm not seeing a cave thru 90
  22. NorthArlington101
    I think they are inherently tied together... slower storm will likely be further south here. But don't disagree with what you are getting at.
  23. NorthArlington101
    12z EPS snow mean 6z EPS snow mean
  24. NorthArlington101
    Much like the OP… not a lot on the snow front but rather massive jump southward on the LP 12z EPS 6z EPS
  25. NorthArlington101
    Part of the point I was trying to make was we don’t have room in the middle as it stands, but that assumes the GFS is done trending one way. Maybe it ends up pushing the heaviest stuff down to RIC. If it went from Boston to DCA in 24 hours, who says that trend is over. Then a meet in the middle is a pretty friendly solution. This is also totally conjecture and just a way to convince myself we’ve got a shot. But it’s plausible
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