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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. My recall is only 1-2" in my corner of Arlington, so some big gradient differences. Perhaps I'm a little low.
  2. I’m not quite as excited as some other folks here - baby steps at h5 only going so far. Think most of this is the IVT (which I do think has a shot).
  3. This finding it's way into being a canonical Nina blizzard makes sense. Long as it's something we can cash in a litttle bit as opposed to the storms we can't name
  4. If you run the last four back it's hard not to see a slight NE trend in the best totals but still gotta hope we're just gonna meet in the middle to an outcome that is about half of this
  5. I think we’re counting on rates to overcome in this depiction. Not sure Conn Ave will cave during the day
  6. I'd say we bust low on temps as we have all week but we know that's not likely
  7. IVT after dark is probably the best non-GFS solution that's on the table
  8. Then we need to get the GFS to slow down or we need to create our own cold air Or drive west
  9. Agree - just the NAM has 3-5" OTG for DC proper at the time. Stuff to resolve there. Willing to blend the two for now and rely on 3k tomorrow Could always make it a heckuva chase... start in the Shenandoah's, drive to assateague...
  10. that's a color you don't see much
  11. Temp related 100% but that's how the screwjob would happen. DC starts as rain, coastal happens too west, then we miss the IVT
  12. 1/3/22 was the last GFS coup. I was in Puerto Rico. Thought it couldn't be right for days, that it would cave. Then...
  13. 3k shows the DC disaster gap but it would've filled in a bit on later panels
  14. I'd rather be in the Virginia' delmarva but not gonna kick a 6-8" NAM run out of bed
  15. It's not gonna be nuts but a solid warning criteria storm for most of us
  16. You gotta like your spot for this one. How is your guest bedroom situation?
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