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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. I think we’ve got at least one window in us after the thaw. We’re overdue April snow to some extent too
  2. I mean, idk, seems like it’ll snow a little tomorrow afternoon. Hopefully it’s a lil scenic out.
  3. Not expecting much but I think people are ignoring this because they are done with winter. Most models showing a period of at least light snow Monday afternoon before a pause and mix-y stuff into Tuesday morning. Kinda doubt I see anything in the city but .5-1” for folks doesn’t seem unreasonable… ignoring the plausible glaze of ice.
  4. GFS as advertised is an interesting event… just a little too far south. Was norther with the real slug of precip though.
  5. It’s been fairly consistent with a 3-5” hit somewhere. Usually over us. Can’t be a bad thing
  6. I think the broader point is that verification scores aren’t gonna translate to specific areas for specific events… just not how it works. You can take or leave them as how a model performs if you want to but it’s kinda the only objective measure And it’s correct to say the AIFS was first to ID a big east coast storm. It was just wrong for us. But thr GFS was even more wrong!
  7. EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own
  8. I must say this was an off run anyway - def a lot less put together of a storm. Little precarious
  9. AIFS stubbornly south - nada for us; little bit for Central VA
  10. EURO also looking like a partial cave to the GFS - least a step in the right direction. dont get too excited - best panel
  11. AIFS took a little leap north but as far as WxBell depicts the ptype its not snow
  12. Overnight timing is really critical for March events. Sun angle is a real thing, unfortunately. Nothing we can do about it though
  13. About the 6th straight run of a south trend on the GFS. Can probably stop soon.
  14. Hits us with both waves. Probably the best outcome - unless you can squeeze more juice out of them, of course
  15. Storm 1 was a nice move south. Verbatim another 2 jogs would be great for us. Also hard to complain about the AI GFS’ 8-10”
  16. GFS has like 4 different shots honestly thursday: see separate thread sunday: light t-1" nonsense monday/tuesday: FRZA for MD and interior NE/Boston MECS before it sinks down and gives everyone some frza LATER tuesday: 1-4" of snow
  17. Would be pretty out at least. Might be a flee back to the burbs kind of afternoon for me again.
  18. Gonna be really funny when this event nobody is paying attention to outdoes Sunday's storm
  19. I'm an advocate for a thread for every event and even this one is really sketchy for me, lol. Some of the hi-res have moved a little flizzard in on Wednesday as has been noted. Think that's the best shot at flakes the remainder of the week, personally. Unless you live in PA.
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