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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. At least I took my grumbles into banter, lol
  2. might be time for a delete of the storm thread if the EURO shifts badly
  3. GEFS is a tick NE with the best stuff - that's my biggest worry for MBY... losing this to PHL-NYC
  4. No way to know what's correct right now. Sure we all have our preferences - and we're all still in the game. Fingers crossed for an outcome that benefits as many folks as possible.
  5. GFS pretty steady - very slight tick north but it's got such a tight band every tick matters I guess. ninja'd x2
  6. RGEM not all that inspiring - still an inch DC-BALT but has the heaviest stuff from PHL- NYC. More NAM-y
  7. Smith Mountain Lake is the snow capital of the Commonwealth. We've always known it to be true
  8. Honestly wasn’t a huge fan of the tick north. I’d take it obviously but would rather have some more wiggle room
  9. RGEM looked pretty darn good so not surprised since they are essentially the same. GFS, ICON, RGEM all good for DC, at least. Ways to go but pretty good 00z despite how quiet it is in here
  10. Think NWS is running behind for ya’ll there again - I’d feel pretty good about 1-2” as a forecast right now. Snow on snow on snow in the first two weeks of December?
  11. If the GFS is right and it’s a 30mi strip or so that’s gonna get the snow, we won’t know for a few days. Wouldn’t get hung up on where it is. Just nice to have something in the area.
  12. when are you coming back from finals and bringing the luck back? gotta be soon
  13. You can see the same thing happening on the HRRR even though it works out on that model. Question is whether there is enough moisture to overcome the dry air/mountain shred. Further west has a better shot. we could in general use more north too... still a little too far south, really
  14. Looks better put together on TT but this is still a buy at this point for sure
  15. Looks like a deathband during a KU as it pivots out of town, not a snowstorm on it's own
  16. Such a narrow jack zone. Weird depiction. But it's not inconsistent with other models and itself. Idk
  17. Looking meh for all parties involved, but at least there is some historical precedent to a clipper juicing up leading up to gametime. If I was to guess, though, areas slightly to most of our south have the best shot at this one again.
  18. I'm most "worried" about another miss south for Friday right now - pretty much all the models stick with the seasonal trend. Not gonna cry over missing 1", at least.
  19. Too busy at work to chase... but next time there is a Blizzard Warning I'll need to figure something out lol
  20. GEFS likes Friday slightly more but has more upside for the Sunday system.
  21. Funny enough though, the AIFS hates Friday and likes Sunday better.
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