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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    ICON - all the afternoon. Some FRZA overnight. All models have temps cold enough at the surface... precip seems to do enough wherever it falls for this to accumulate on the grass, at least.
  2. NorthArlington101
    In all seriousness, my one takeaway from the early mostly-joke mesos is that they try to be snow with that second portion at the start. That would be a good trend.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Since this is kind of a joke event, why not randomly post the ARW control. We can dream!
  4. NorthArlington101
    We’ll see lol. Took the initial band a little north but essentially a copy/paste of 18z as the final result.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Nice improvement from 12z. Seeing a wetter trend for sure. Also norther. Could be a “congrats Parkton” if it continues but it’s been a while so that’s okay. Would appreciate any and all snow TV on tap
  6. NorthArlington101
    I think we’ve got at least one window in us after the thaw. We’re overdue April snow to some extent too
  7. NorthArlington101
    Some freezing rain west of I-95
  8. NorthArlington101
    I mean, idk, seems like it’ll snow a little tomorrow afternoon. Hopefully it’s a lil scenic out.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Someone order a clown map?
  10. NorthArlington101
    Not expecting much but I think people are ignoring this because they are done with winter. Most models showing a period of at least light snow Monday afternoon before a pause and mix-y stuff into Tuesday morning. Kinda doubt I see anything in the city but .5-1” for folks doesn’t seem unreasonable… ignoring the plausible glaze of ice.
  11. NorthArlington101
    GFS also is wintry enough to keep an eye open at
  12. NorthArlington101
    GFS as advertised is an interesting event… just a little too far south. Was norther with the real slug of precip though.
  13. NorthArlington101
    It’s been fairly consistent with a 3-5” hit somewhere. Usually over us. Can’t be a bad thing
  14. NorthArlington101
    I think the broader point is that verification scores aren’t gonna translate to specific areas for specific events… just not how it works. You can take or leave them as how a model performs if you want to but it’s kinda the only objective measure And it’s correct to say the AIFS was first to ID a big east coast storm. It was just wrong for us. But thr GFS was even more wrong!
  15. NorthArlington101
    EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own
  16. NorthArlington101
    I must say this was an off run anyway - def a lot less put together of a storm. Little precarious
  17. NorthArlington101
    Looks fine
  18. NorthArlington101
    This before FRZA. Not awesome but I’d take it
  19. NorthArlington101
    AIFS stubbornly south - nada for us; little bit for Central VA
  20. NorthArlington101
    EURO also looking like a partial cave to the GFS - least a step in the right direction. dont get too excited - best panel
  21. NorthArlington101
    AIFS took a little leap north but as far as WxBell depicts the ptype its not snow
  22. NorthArlington101
    Overnight timing is really critical for March events. Sun angle is a real thing, unfortunately. Nothing we can do about it though
  23. NorthArlington101
    About the 6th straight run of a south trend on the GFS. Can probably stop soon.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Hits us with both waves. Probably the best outcome - unless you can squeeze more juice out of them, of course
  25. NorthArlington101
    Storm 1 was a nice move south. Verbatim another 2 jogs would be great for us. Also hard to complain about the AI GFS’ 8-10”
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