White Gorilla
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Everything posted by White Gorilla
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West of the river is definitely the best place to be for this
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Definitely don't travel. It will be dangerous to be on the roads
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Yes. I am keeping in mind different forces pro and con that influence accumulation. A good 12-18 for Dutchess seems reasonable, hopefully closer to 18 if we can stay under some good bands.
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Good points. I was wondering what specifically the models are sniffing out
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Models keep increasing snow amounts even way up here in POU as well, in the 20 plus range now
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Para GFS gives even POU 27 inches!
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Can you imagine if our region now becomes the Binghamton region of Dec 17 where models completely underestimated snowfall ? One can dream...
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What is the reason for that axis of heaviest snow from PA trending northeast on the models ?
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The 12z RGEM was a thing of beauty for up here too
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Checked local temps forecast for Monday and Tuesday here in POU and it is borderline cold for snow (32F, 33F respectively)
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I still have nightmares. Don't trigger me
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Really curious to see how accumulations play out with this storm given its long duration. Some people are really going to surpass expectations.
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LOL at if Binghamton gets 3 feet again
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I would laugh with misery if Binghamton to Alb jackpots like 12/17 again. Euro and other models show different qpf distribution this time, however.
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This solution looks very reasonable and high probability given all the guidance. A nice 6-12er by me and 12-20 NYC immediate metro and west.
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Even outliers can't be discounted completely imo. As Eduggs mentioned it is closer to the RGEM.
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Why? It is a possibility. Again, we need to stop throwing out solutions we don't like. There are solutions giving me less than 6 inches but I accept them in the range of possibilities. I can understand saying a solution maybe less likely given trends, model convergence, but all is on the table at this point.
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I think most here are keeping it real and that includes up to 20 inches.
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A lot of varied solutions still so close to the event
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Remember that scientific article about warmer ocean temps leading to higher moisture feed that lead to insane snow amounts near Binghamton in Dec that no model predicted? Keep that in mind even with a different setup this time. .