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White Gorilla

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Everything posted by White Gorilla

  1. White Gorilla
    This solution looks very reasonable and high probability given all the guidance. A nice 6-12er by me and 12-20 NYC immediate metro and west.
  2. White Gorilla
    Even outliers can't be discounted completely imo. As Eduggs mentioned it is closer to the RGEM.
  3. White Gorilla
    Why? It is a possibility. Again, we need to stop throwing out solutions we don't like. There are solutions giving me less than 6 inches but I accept them in the range of possibilities. I can understand saying a solution maybe less likely given trends, model convergence, but all is on the table at this point.
  4. White Gorilla
    I think most here are keeping it real and that includes up to 20 inches.
  5. White Gorilla
    A lot of varied solutions still so close to the event
  6. White Gorilla
    Got it
  7. White Gorilla
    Still gives us 8-10 up here
  8. White Gorilla
    Remember that scientific article about warmer ocean temps leading to higher moisture feed that lead to insane snow amounts near Binghamton in Dec that no model predicted? Keep that in mind even with a different setup this time. .
  9. White Gorilla
    Good to keep in mind model biases
  10. White Gorilla
    Picking up on a weakening confluence? I don't think this RGEM solution will verify.
  11. White Gorilla
    Yes, with a nice easterly fetch, I can see some places approaching 20 near the coast
  12. White Gorilla
    I will be happy with 6-12 here in Central /Southern Dutchess. Highly doubt 20 like the NAM shows. Bullseye in NYC, N NJ, happy for you guys.
  13. White Gorilla
    Is the system being fully sampled yet? How about the confluence parameters? Any forecast changes?
  14. White Gorilla
    Yes, it doesn't have to be historic for snow lovers to be absolutely delighted.
  15. White Gorilla
    Euro still gives POU a foot. We 84 folks take!
  16. White Gorilla
    CMC and NAM
  17. White Gorilla
    Depends on what the other models look like.
  18. White Gorilla
    Agree. It shafts us here up north but definitely looks like a high probability solution
  19. White Gorilla
    Truly waiting for that pan forum one foot plus for all storm.
  20. White Gorilla
    Everyone ready for shaft city on Monday up here? It has been a while.
  21. White Gorilla
    I will be happy for those folks even if we get nothing up here. I had 16 inches in Dec. Someone else's turn now who didn't cash in earlier.
  22. White Gorilla
    15 inches up here? Highly doubt it.
  23. White Gorilla
    Even with this solution, I will be ok with just a few inches up here. Better than nothing. Enjoy for those who get a foot plus
  24. White Gorilla
    Many model cycles to go, but at least something to track for now.
  25. White Gorilla
    Moderate snow in POU, 30F
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