White Gorilla
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Everything posted by White Gorilla
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WSW extended up here to Poughkeepsie now.
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Way overdone for our area in Poughkeepsie even with ratios factored. I think we get around 10. Looks pretty but not going to verify as such up here.
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It isn't just one model run. It is many models over consecutive runs. I am cautious about the possibility of being severely fringed, so I am not in denial. I think Poughkeepsie area is a good 8-12 inches with cutoff closer to I 90 as Mr Drag also suggests. Could be wrong, but most models except the GFS show that solution.
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Closer to I 90 than I 84 imo
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Will gladly take this here in POU at a foot.
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GFS took me from 1 inch to 5.5. Trend is my friend?
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How good is the CMC in terms of verification score at this range?
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Hopefully the others won't come around to GFS from my location. Otherwise, I take my one inch and learn to like it?
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Yeah, aren't we so sadistic..
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This looks like a fake weenie map someone in a basement in Albany would make! Lol. The two foot lollipop is right exactly on top of the capital district....
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As much as I love this solution for my backyard, I highly, highly doubt it
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Yeah this is very unlikely
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Up here, accums all depend on when it starts to shunt east. NYC is golden no matter what.
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Still 5-8 up here. I will take if that is the actual solution. Lots of model runs to go.
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Someone once called it the GooFuS model. But I ain't laughing because GooFuS could still have the last laugh.
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Yes, for now, a blend of guidance makes sense
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I am not going to react yet and just wait for better data sampling of the system with model runs late tonight into tomorrow.
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When was the last storm the entire forum from mid Hudson Valley to Eastern LI to Jersey and E PA all received a foot plus?
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Nope. Not gonna happen. Could it be possible? It's 2020. I will leave it right there. I am much more worried about a whiff up here near 84.
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Fascinating to say the least!
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OK that's it. This back and forth is tiring, but expected at this range.
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Windshield wipers guys for now. Let's wait for better data sampling.
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An average of all these runs nets us here just north of 84 at 9 inches. We take. Let's see how this moves forward.
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I will take my 5 inches even if the rest of you get a foot. At least the ground will be white. But please no more SE.
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