MillvilleWx

I like both trades so far today. We definitely need another bigger name at starter. Time to shake things up for this team. It’s that time of year

The issue right now is the forcing keeps sliding south of the area towards the Tidewater. We had one day where the trough was amplified enough to send stuff north, but it went around us and into PA. Tough break. I know my parents at the shore got hammered the other night with 3+ from the monster that was tornado warned. We really could use a synoptic gully washer at this point.

Got 1.12” from last nights stuff in North Frederick. Missed 2+ by 5-10 miles. I’ll take it though.

Quite the muggy evening up in Frederick, but at least the blazing sun is down to keep it reasonable. Enjoying a mixed rum cocktail to make me feel like I’m in Barbados while it feels like Barbados 82/71

If we’re gonna do heat, might as well go for the gusto

Hey guys. Just letting you know that @WxWatcher007is doing okay and is safe. No signal currently. Quite the hit down there this morning.

What a wild several month stretch for my household but we are now 100% and ready to roll for the rest of the year. Hope everyone is doing well!

Outside the come from behind victory in Jan 2000, there was no winter to be found in these parts. I was really young, but I remember basically getting out early all 3 years from a lack of snow days used. It was a rough stretch. Add in the March 2001 fail and dismal 2002 and you got yourself a 5 year stretch of rough winters. 2003 is when it broke, and it broke big. There’s been terrible streaks of futility throughout history in these parts. We’re on a cooler, that’s for sure.

I’m keeping my eye on that one. That’s got a chance to hold together over to my area.

I’ll add we had 1.67” of rain yesterday at our place. We missed most of it traveling back from Myrtle Beach, but we got clobbered once we got to the Capital Beltway with those elevated thunderstorms that rolled through. It was dumping rain

Light snow shower in north Frederick 44°

Should be good for 4-6ft up at that elevation. Enjoy the pasting!

21° at my place this morning at 5AM. Brrr

Took a ride through the Catoctins today. Still 2-4” of snow OTG up around 1200’+ Temp was 45° at my place and got down to 36-38° on top of the mountain. Whole different world up there. Really is beautiful

Went for a breezy, chilly walk around Baker Park earlier. Felt very much like a prime winter day. A little snow around. It was pretty nice! I want to walk around Baker after a big storm at some point. Got to be an experience.

2/16 - 2.3" Total* - 13.8" *Missed a snow event in January. No reading so likely closer to 14.3-14.8”

2.3” here in 5N Frederick Same as last storm. That’s kind of a weird coincidence. This snow is much fluffier though compared to the last one.

I would’ve went to bed ages ago in DC for snow purposes. Storm quickly went backwards for the district after the 12z hi-res

Hate to say it, but kudos to the HRRR/RAP combo for sniffing this out basically since 14z runs. They are going to hit the nail on the head for here and basically hit the northern band in PA, to a degree. Im not a HRRR disciple by any means, but it can be useful for trends in certain setups. It struggles with southern stream disturbances and does better with NS systems. I think convection within SS disturbances causes chaos in the model. Would be interesting to study. My forecast earlier was terrible and I really forced what I showed everyone here. I didn’t have a good mental day today, so seeing it snow nicely helped bring up my spirit. Depression sucks, that’s all I have to say. Have a good night everyone. Enjoy the snow, whatever falls. Truly a treat.

Yeah. I think the 5” is pretty dead south of M/D except for maybe your hood, but 2-4” is still decent for those NW of US29. 7H fronto went into PA and that pretty much killed any chance at the max for here. Annoying, but it is what it is. This is still pretty nice to see.

IMG_7821.mov

SN+ Giant flakes. These are some very impressive dendrites. Everything has caved, including the parking lot. This is easy 1+”/hr

Moderate to bordering heavy snow now in Frederick. Massive flakes. Cars completely covered and grass totally whitened up.

Steady light snow 5N Frederick

I'll try to fine tune this forecast with the new 12z data set. Might be bumping totals a bit