JTA66
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Everything posted by JTA66
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Yeah, I was at Miller’s Ale House in Montgomeryville last year when those snow squalls came through…everyone’s phone blew up at the same time. Thought we were about to get carpet bombed by the Luftwaffe.
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Might be time to start switching gears and root for a strong arctic frontal passage with snow squalls that can quickly whiten the ground.
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Thanks for mentioning this, should serve as a good lesson for our current pattern/snow chances. Dec '89 was probably the coldest December of my lifetime. Blocking so strong and storm track so surpassed, didn't it snow in Jacksonville FL for Christmas? And yet we still managed a rainstorm in the midst of it. Just saying there's always a path to failure no matter how epic the pattern. On to 12z...
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Jinx!
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I remember coming home from work that evening and the forecast was still light snow along the coast. But the radar showed the precipitation moving due north…one of the few times weenie radar hallucinations paid off! Anyway, CMC…if nothing else, still looks like a wild frontal passage.
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And we’re battling a background Niña state, ideal for SER and lows tracking to our west, so we have our work cutout for us this year
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This is the only hobby I’m aware of that you have to approach expecting failure. What sort of morons would sign up for that??
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My positive take away is the Euro says it won't be raining on Christmas Eve or Christmas Day...so we got that going for us.
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12z Goofus looked fun. Let's see if it has any company.
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I’m not HECS hunting, just hoping for snow on the ground/flakes flying for Christmas—whatever Mother Nature needs to do to make that happen is fine with me. The concern is if late next week ends up like our current system (inland runner) it might be time to have the dreaded “atmospheric memory” talk. Hey, at least we’re tracking
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Quiet in here. Either everyone is out shoveling their rain or still passed out after that GFS run. Only 30 or so more model cycles to go…keep the faith!
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Still some mangled flakes mixing in. I was just out and cat paw was hitting the windshield. 34F/DP 32F -
Christmas Eve with blue over us, can’t ask for more at this stage.
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As I recall the old rule of thumb is ideally we want the ridge axis over Boise, ID.
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33F and rain
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Yeah, big cotton balls coming down. Neighbors just passed by Jebwalking their dog.
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Getting a few flakes mixing in, 32F/DP 27F
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IP here, 32F/DP 25
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Agree on all counts, Iceman. Getting rid of Fletcher is just a start. At the risk of ending up with a Dan Snyder, Comcast needs to divest itself of this team and get it back into the hands of private ownership. Anything short of that, we'll remain 5 to 7 years away from being 2 to 3 years away.
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No changes on the 12z NAM (not that we were expecting any). Just a quick period of blink-and-you-miss-it frozen, we rain.
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Winter Weather Advisories for most of us. We take and enjoy before the flood warnings are issued. 30F
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Looks like the 18z NAM held steady with my 15 minutes of sleet. Hope I remember to look out a window so I don't miss it.
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NAM at range but looks like it's coming in warm to my untrained eyes. I'll take my 15 minutes of IP and declare victory.
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I may not have the best reading comprehension, but my understanding since late Nov has been that the first half of December would be a nothing burger, we’d have to wait until the 15th or so for a better pattern to emerge, then post 20th/around the holiday season before we could hope to track. Seems everything (so far) is moving along as expected.
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Light rain. At 38F, no mangling is occurring.
