JTA66
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Everything posted by JTA66
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Happy 10th anniversary of the greatest forecasting bust in history -- the Mayan Apocalypse. "There was supposed to be an Earth-shattering ka-boom! Where's the Earth-shattering ka-boom??"
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The fact that the GFS isn't showing anything for the 28th is an encouraging sign IMHO. Yeah, I doubt anything will happen before the New Year, but it could be one on those seasons where we don't get a long track event. Thinking it might be a year where something pops inside 72-96 hours.
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Great map for helping me decide where to retire.
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And yet it still looks like a rainstorm east of the mountains
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I wouldn’t buy anything the globals are showing regarding post frontal frozen at this range. If the mesos have this look inside 36 hours, I might get interested.
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How ‘bout dem Cowboys!! Still haven’t clinched a playoff spot
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Just chased a fly out of the house. #deepwinter
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Bar now reset to onion snows in April.
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Not seeing anything here yet, but hey, a coating of sleet and virga all in the same week? Awesome!
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18z GFS keeps my hopes for arctic frontal flakes alive. Yeah, cold chasing precip always ends well around here.
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12z Euro still has the arctic front. Bar set at outperforming Thursday’s coating of sleet
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What happens in December, the winter will remember
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Yeah, I was at Miller’s Ale House in Montgomeryville last year when those snow squalls came through…everyone’s phone blew up at the same time. Thought we were about to get carpet bombed by the Luftwaffe.
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Might be time to start switching gears and root for a strong arctic frontal passage with snow squalls that can quickly whiten the ground.
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Thanks for mentioning this, should serve as a good lesson for our current pattern/snow chances. Dec '89 was probably the coldest December of my lifetime. Blocking so strong and storm track so surpassed, didn't it snow in Jacksonville FL for Christmas? And yet we still managed a rainstorm in the midst of it. Just saying there's always a path to failure no matter how epic the pattern. On to 12z...
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Jinx!
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I remember coming home from work that evening and the forecast was still light snow along the coast. But the radar showed the precipitation moving due north…one of the few times weenie radar hallucinations paid off! Anyway, CMC…if nothing else, still looks like a wild frontal passage.
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And we’re battling a background Niña state, ideal for SER and lows tracking to our west, so we have our work cutout for us this year
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This is the only hobby I’m aware of that you have to approach expecting failure. What sort of morons would sign up for that??
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My positive take away is the Euro says it won't be raining on Christmas Eve or Christmas Day...so we got that going for us.
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12z Goofus looked fun. Let's see if it has any company.
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I’m not HECS hunting, just hoping for snow on the ground/flakes flying for Christmas—whatever Mother Nature needs to do to make that happen is fine with me. The concern is if late next week ends up like our current system (inland runner) it might be time to have the dreaded “atmospheric memory” talk. Hey, at least we’re tracking
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Quiet in here. Either everyone is out shoveling their rain or still passed out after that GFS run. Only 30 or so more model cycles to go…keep the faith!
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Still some mangled flakes mixing in. I was just out and cat paw was hitting the windshield. 34F/DP 32F -
Christmas Eve with blue over us, can’t ask for more at this stage.
