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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    It’s definitely trying. A bit messy with the circulation but consistent convection in what’s now a less sheared environment can definitely give it decent odds to develop before moving onshore tomorrow.
  2. WxWatcher007
    They’re weak but there are some westerly winds showing up now per recon.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Roasting at HFD. 94/73
  4. WxWatcher007
    Recon on descent into the invest now. First thing to see is if we actually have a closed circulation.
  5. WxWatcher007
    If the techs are out there today I wonder if they’ll just take it down for public intoxication.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Too far north for me today. Too far south for me tomorrow.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Recon closing in on the invest at a good time as there’s been persistent and deep convection near the center.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Glue factory model
  9. WxWatcher007
  10. WxWatcher007
    It’ll be good to see what recon finds. I’m not entirely sure it’s fully closed off, but shear has dropped significantly and there’s a little bit of time. Dry air is an issue, especially on the southern side, but convection so far has held on.
  11. WxWatcher007
    I don’t mean this as a negative statement, but it’s mostly monotony year round. Not surprising on a random June morning the conversation isn’t about the intricacies of 850mb temperature advection. Riveting conversation there too.
  12. WxWatcher007
    If we can talk about those three without complaining then I won’t have to complain about the complaining. Banter but honestly, I’m still sad about Willie Mays’ passing. What a life well lived. I’m looking forward to the game tonight at Rickwood Field.
  13. WxWatcher007
    This conversation makes me want to throw my head through this computer screen.
  14. WxWatcher007
    May try to catch the storms up here in the Albany area today. It’s been a while since I’ve been in chase mode. @weatherwiz I hear Troy tends to be a good viewing spot?
  15. WxWatcher007
    It’s a lot of rain for Mexico. Feast it famine like @wxmx said.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Thanks. As I see it, the well defined center has an uphill fight against shear and then dry air as it approaches the coast. Small systems can trend stronger or weaker very quickly however, so this is definitely an interesting one to track.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Hot towers going up around the center now.
  18. WxWatcher007
    There are some pretty strong FL winds found in the flight so far. 55kt FL peak and 41kt SFMR.
  19. WxWatcher007
    As expected, we now have lower level recon rather than a survey, and Alberto is substantially more organized than it was just a few hours ago. Earlier survey Now
  20. WxWatcher007
    Over the top
  21. WxWatcher007
    The SW Atlantic area identified about ten days ago is now invest 92L. Has some work to do to get classified as a TC.
  22. WxWatcher007
    If it’s an invest or has legit development odds it should get a thread imo. I don’t have a monopoly over tread starting so other folks feel free to start! @GaWx It’s not terribly surprising to me that the SW disturbance I discussed a while back is an invest now. I am a little surprised to see such a well defined low, but it needs convection, and that may be tough with time running out and dry air/shear lurking. Perhaps it’ll take advantage of the diurnal cycle to spur TC genesis.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Chipmunks?
  24. WxWatcher007
    The storm north of Chicopee has an echo top of 55k ft.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Awesome, have a great time!
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