I’m mostly with you…but this logic didn’t work for some of the truly putrid years we’ve had lately. It was unlikely to get worse/likely to be better until it did/didn’t. If we’re in a decadal cycle, we’ll it hasn’t been a decade yet, not that these things fall so neatly.
We need a stretch before we can declare things are better. In the whole scheme of things though, I’d rather just focus on this season.