Yeah, we’re in good shape. We’re continuing to trend cold, and we’ll have ample shortwaves rolling into the region. Just give me chances. I don’t need to see D7-D5 nukes that trend to nothing. Danced that dance plenty.
Another truly awful performance by some models at short range, but the writing was on the wall with the extent of cold and low dews. Tip of the cap to…Tip, who saw the ZR potential. That’ll cost me some points in my forecast final grade.
Radar doesn’t show it, but we’re snowing nicely out here too. Already over a half inch. I’m going to be learning the climo here for a while lol so I’m not sure if deformation bands are a thing here.
We laugh, but in all seriousness there's a lot of anxiety out there when it comes to wx. Tropical, severe, winter, significant rainers...maybe part of that is the hype that comes with wx these days, but it's a legitimate thing.
Better mid-December than last third that’s for sure. It looks like any warm up might be transient with that ridge going up over Alaska but we’ll see. GEFS perhaps heading in that direction in the extended too.
Final map kept the 3-6 zone in NW CT and put the rest of the state in C-2 territory. We'll see if the cold being a little more robust tonight makes a difference for inland spots.
27.5/19 at WXW1 (HFD 28/16)
Overperforming on cold here at WXW2 even with a light wind and some high clouds.
9.5/7.9 at WXW2 (SLK 0/-4)
Agree. I think we're in good shape this year. Will try to take a look at your forecast whenever I can find the time. I know you put an enormous amount of work it in. You should be proud (though I know that one never feels good until the forecast verifies).