WxWatcher007

If there's anything we should've learned in recent years, it's that we can't fight the PAC. If it's a disaster, our winter here in the lowlands is a disaster. My head is rarely ever into the preseason winter forecasting stuff, but if I were to hazard a guess I'd say December is a blowtorch, early January many will have canceled winter, and then we see a decent stretch mid to late January into at least half of Feb. We'll have plenty of storm chances with the juiced STJ, so we just need to time things right to produce something.

An all-timer. Easily the most impactful winter wx event, but I think 2013 was my favorite. As I repeatedly say, the Mount Rushmore of CT winter wx events are 1888, 1978, 2011, and 2013.

Tis the season

We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast.

It’s been a long week

I still see obs https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kslk

We got real lucky last winter. There were some insane torches just to our west, especially around Christmas.

First big AI fail it seems with Champi hitting Taiwan.

Don’t you dare jinx us up here in God’s Country lol

Arctic Circle might work too

Josephine comes a day after my peak season period forecast ended, so it won’t count in my Aug 20 - Oct 20 tally.

I think it’s a rare severe threat out there too.

Awesome days. Football and hockey in full swing…baseball playoffs…basketball gearing up. It’s a wonderful time of year. Color has been excellent from what I’ve seen but in spots. Dull in others. Not like the NNE region imo where it seemed to be generational everywhere at peak.

To be clear, our coastal a few weeks ago never became subtropical, but I do find this pretty funny. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Off the East Coast of the United States: A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is developing along a frontal boundary tonight off the southeast coast of the United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically over the next couple of days while it initially remains non-tropical. Later this week, if the system stays over the Gulf Stream, environmental conditions could become more conducive for the low to develop some subtropical characteristics. A subtropical cyclone could form over the second half of this week as the system begins moving generally northeastward, offshore of the eastern United States. Regardless of development, this system will cause high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf along portions of the U.S. East Coast. Please consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin

Narrowly escaped a big time hit.

NHC tagging this next offshore storm as a lemon.

Afternoon

We’re also still pretty cold. Temp has dropped from about 33 when I woke up to 31.4 now on a light NW wind.

Warm and rainy? @ineedsnow waking up in a panic right now

That's fine. We enjoy and appreciate every opportunity to see snow.

.4" on the board!