WxWatcher007
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Everything posted by WxWatcher007
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Useless model.
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Damn shame. Hopefully we can sharpen up as we get closer to game time. A month or two from now would be prime for us here. Seasonably chilly day here with plenty of low level moisture.
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Uh oh. October snow. Winter canceled? A little skeptical, but it’s still an area climatologically favored. Euro legacy has it too now. Ensembles don’t really bring it up here though.
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77.9/68 at WXW1 49.3/48 here at WXW2
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Well this looks paltry on the models for here now.
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Good storms up here tonight.
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Only a matter of time, because wx will be wx. Our mistake as humans is thinking we’re immune to Mother Nature.
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Well let’s just hope it’s right. Euro a little less bullish. As usual.
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Frigid and snowy lol
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How large of a region will be covered? I’m basically asking if this will cover the Adirondacks too lol.
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We love. We take.
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Yes for sure. Come check out the NNE thread. All of the LES guys have moved to a discord but you’ll know when good setups are coming. My area is a bit far from the LES snow belt but when a good band sets up over the Tug I’m usually getting a light accumulation too. November has had some monster LES events and I think we have a good shot for a nice one this year.
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Ah yes, even better haha. Euro has snow through much of NNE Saturday with daytime highs in the 30s up my way.
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We hope. It's not in fantasy land so I feel good about that. We can produce on these setups.
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Was saying that in the NNE thread earlier haha. I've been skeptical, but there's a solid cross guidance signal for flakes up here this weekend. GFS was pretty aggressive along with its AI counterpart. Euro not as much. I like seeing the lingering moisture after the front. We can produce nicely on that. Not sure about the Tug however, as this looks like more NW flow than westerly off Ontario, if you're talking LES potential.
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I'm still a little skeptical, but I'm buying a little more stock in snow this weekend. The signal for at least first flakes is across guidance, and now we're starting to see guidance show the potential for minor accumulation. SLK averages first measurable on Oct 23, so this would be timely.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
The Gulf signal vanished on GDM, and the subtropics signal is weak at best. This could very well be it for the season. My forecast period is ending 10/20 so it’s almost time to assign a grade. -
Might be a little early for big LES, but first flakes seem increasingly likely up here this weekend.
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Interesting end to the BTV discussion With a northwesterly flow and sufficient moisture in place, we cannot rule out upslope/mountain snow showers or flurries next weekend, with some minor summit-level accumulations possible. Once the system exits and skies finally clear, this autumn snow against the remaining fall foliage at low elevations could make for a highly picturesque and contrasting view across the high peaks of the Adirondacks and Vermont`s Green Mountains.
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Yeah so much for the severe risk busting.
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When was the last time the region had widespread 1”+ rainfall?
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First flakes across New England next weekend? Kiss of death for winter?
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Congrats on the rain
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Snow showers in the forecast for the first time for next weekend. Cross guidance signal for a deep through to roll through. Been there for a while actually.
