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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    What I'd like to see is the base of the h5 a bit more south these next few runs this aftn and evening. That and we'd like to see things sharper unless the whole orientation is going to slow down a bit and allow what we need despite a broader trough.
  2. DDweatherman
    Can only hope the trends are a sign the gfs is the one with the central solution and hope the others keep going. The damn euro is starting to look like the odd man out...I'm sure it still will in an hour.
  3. DDweatherman
    Figures that our favorite member grey hat will probably get 2' in this storm... mother nature does some funny things.
  4. DDweatherman
    Gold jacket, green jacket...
  5. DDweatherman
    I agree, NE is more about less of a capture and slightly progressive move but still a solid low pressure track. CMC was improved at 12z vs 0z (not surprising given the RGEM). Of course its all on to see what the damn euro does.
  6. DDweatherman
    I see it, I agree. Makes sense and could actually get better. I think thats why some things looked worse but others looked better and had the boom potential...still ended up a good run.
  7. DDweatherman
    Best run yet of the AI GFS I believe. It's a crappy model, but its been moving in the right direction.
  8. DDweatherman
    That's kind of what I'm seeing. So long as the rest of the 12z suite doesn't look hateful, I think some people might need watches later this aftn.
  9. DDweatherman
    To be honest, minus 3 feet over Chestertown, this distribution of snow totals and the numbers NW of the fall line to the bay COULD happen at this point. IVT looks impressive as well with a lot of coastal influence even on the other 12z runs.
  10. DDweatherman
    As long as the GFS doesn't make too many more moves SE, this run went about 30-40 miles in that direction, feeling like this has some teeth. ICON, RGEM, and NAM all made moves in the GFS direction here at 12z.
  11. DDweatherman
    Agreed, AI GFS got better again as well.
  12. DDweatherman
    The low getting going and deepening is important to cleaning up the column when the heavies get going. Glad this is Feb 22nd not March 2nd, not a huge difference but it helps.
  13. DDweatherman
    The other models are trending towards the GFS still, and so the compromise continues to improve... we didn't expect a full cave to GFS and capture type of modeled solution. This is good stuff.
  14. DDweatherman
    6z was a good move, need to keep the beat going.
  15. DDweatherman
    I stuck up for you getting a hard time from people a few weeks ago, but this morning you’re bringing the heat upon yourself…
  16. DDweatherman
    Sadly, there isn’t much use. You’d just rather them be in your camp than not.
  17. DDweatherman
    I actually was thinking this. It’s not really much of a “compromise” look. Gotta pick a side and then extrapolate from there.
  18. DDweatherman
    Shit I hope dc gets 20, if they do you’d be on the way back anyways. Seems almost statiscally impossible at this point the gfs has this magically nailed while others look so much different…
  19. DDweatherman
    Stay in the Richmond, VA “anals” please
  20. DDweatherman
    I’ve seen many of those ways on both sides, I can concur.
  21. DDweatherman
    Is perhaps 10/1 showing bigger #’s and that’s where SV got their totals?
  22. DDweatherman
    Just a few runs ago, that piece wasn’t really as much of a player, right? I only really resumed looking at this this afternoon, but I know there’s some differences in evolution there. It wouldn’t be too much weenie casting to say as this new feature gets a little better forecasted/sampled, we might get a little better clarity.
  23. DDweatherman
    It seems east of 18z but isn’t earth shattering. A lot of energy aloft to sort through. Some things better aloft coming in, some worse.
  24. DDweatherman
    At least you’re more consistent than some of these models
  25. DDweatherman
    I just thought about what night it was. Is it him or Wwxluvr that said they get angry Thursday nights?
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