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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    2-5 area wide we'd all take right now. What people worry is it cuts in half, then if it cuts in half again...
  2. DDweatherman
    Yep, its FOLKS worthy, if only the CMC looked like the GFS and GFS showed the Canadian solution...I'd be a lot happier, but good to see it stay with a solid evolution. No kicker up in the PNW like Euro.
  3. DDweatherman
    This was one of the positives of the GFS to note, the evolution is definitely different in the two, and I wouldn't classify this as a "cave" to the Euro. It's a difference in tilt and amplification that's gonna change from run to run. The problem is we get our 3-4" from the trailing energy amplifying and splitting which is a tough evolution to bank on.
  4. DDweatherman
    I'm really not surprised, trend the last 4 runs. 12z is the sore thumb that sticks out sadly.
  5. DDweatherman
    Agreed, the orientation of the trough and energies for phasing doesn't have the same alignment for clean phasing and giving a nice runway to climb the coast. If I didn't look at surface panels, I'd assume a worse outcome.
  6. DDweatherman
    Little bit of difference that I don't necessarily love.
  7. DDweatherman
    One thing to make note of regarding early frames and the evolution is what @psuhoffman was mentioning as to where the GFS camp and Euro camps diverge. The split happens about 60-72 hours into the evolution and how wave intensities are handled. That's absolutely something to watch on the 12z GFS and even on the secondary models (UK, CMC). The euro isn't the euro of old, but messing up evolution of energies 60hrs out would be unusual.
  8. DDweatherman
    How many people do you think you made pause with that first line?
  9. DDweatherman
    Good inputs. I’d argue you gave us 3 cents, but agreed on the simple evolution and easier wins. We don’t get many of those opps around here
  10. DDweatherman
    Where’s Randall? It’s his turn and he’s not at the club right now. I need to hear/see FOLKS or I’m gonna be pissed off lol
  11. DDweatherman
    This is an excellent plan if you ask me. It's gonna be painful as shit when the 12z starts moving to the Euro camp and we all want to kill each other.
  12. DDweatherman
    ICON looks more like GFS in evolution early on but delays the low development a lot longer than last run. It has been bouncing around a good bit.
  13. DDweatherman
    Don't you ever say that, but we all are in the hopium camp for GFS being our leader (and UKMET too while we're at it )
  14. DDweatherman
    If that kicker is modeled more accurately by the Euro, it certainly flattens the flow and dampens out our wave, not really having any chance at the phase the GFS is now onboard showing.
  15. DDweatherman
    Cascade/fort Ritchie has snow haha
  16. DDweatherman
    Over here at the coffee shop in Carroll Valley, guy couldn’t get up the hill on 16 to Blue Ridge summit…just had to turn around and come back down.
  17. DDweatherman
    Same, interesting lol. cars covered
  18. DDweatherman
    Yes fozz, definitely was. Shows how quick time flies when you have 3 kids in a 4 year span. It’s all merged together.
  19. DDweatherman
    Last year I took the family up to deep creek/swanton for MLK weekend. We had 6-10” from the storm that came through which was too warm for the folks further east. Then the upslope turned on and we had whiteouts on and off. Finished at 21-22” for the weekend
  20. DDweatherman
    Let’s do it again, but for everyone
  21. DDweatherman
    It was a hell of a time while it lasted. I have varying measurements between 5.75 and 6”
  22. DDweatherman
    Sleet Bomb going on atm.
  23. DDweatherman
    Sleet time here, that was fun though.
  24. DDweatherman
    Spot on, the orange is right on my doorstep and it’s snowing as hard as it has in years
  25. DDweatherman
    5” OTG at the mason Dixon line just north of emmittsburg. Can confirm cc line dropped back S/SE and snow started getting very heavy at that point. 29 degrees.
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