Love the solutions at 12z showing .75-1" QPF in the sweetspot zones. Certainly believe it with a stronger, well oriented vort tapping GoM feeds and solid forcing. Not to mention a great pass that keeps the enhancement going a bit longer on GFS & GGEM.
Just about all of us would lock and load that GFS run and sleep until Sunday morning when the obs thread opens up. Nice run there, good column, heavy QPF with great moisture advection and forcing overhead.
I like the sharp h5 look and that energy passage as well transfer. Places that would avoid a dry slot would see some good enhancement as that pulls through. Probably some high ratio fluff.
It should be a nice squally patch with decent rates where it falls. Favored zone about our BY and ESE. I don’t mind getting a little south mountain enhancement?
The thread after the thread rule proved successful last year on at least 2 occasions. Happy to report I was one of the savior thread starters on one of those.
The 70 & n to M/D corridor is a good place to be right now. PSU probably jackpots if you didn't move to Hanover, but given your snow curse, we'll have to look for a new jackpot zone.
Also, I definitely see the chance of CVA getting something in the next storm window regardless of what happens with this one. Favors spots further south until we see runs pull energy up the coast.
Would be pretty surprised, mid to upper 20’s surface temps even in the mixing sections as per the euro depiction. It’s more a warm air push aloft with the primary track that 18z euro run had. let’s see what its ensembles have to say here shortly.
2nd ex wife post of the day, I’m all for it. I have a wife, might make her my ex soon.
gfs is rolling out ready to crash the servers and weenie dreams.
Will the happy hour GFS deliver? Or will Randy be bent over in front of the capital building waiting for flakes?
will I personally drive to Charleston to delete bncho’s account?
Wish the snow was coming Tuesday, could have a Monday meet. The roads in my hood by Liberty might as well need chains in any decent snow.
would love to get the Balt/N MD gang together as we head into the deep winter period (hopefully).