DDweatherman

I hear you going with the reverse psychology angle

Greatly disjointed areas of frontogenesis in that one. H7 shot way north over N & C PA vs southern and the h85 closer to the low was down over DC/NoVA. I don’t expect them to be that separated in a system like this, where the surface low/any associated coastal isn’t a big factor.

The other storm in January that screwed c md and DC definitely went NW as well. 7” IMBY edit to add you don’t want a W-E trajectory, makes a NW trend less likely for sure.

So long Bob chill and friends

Cue the windshield wiper GIF, if there’s a true NW trend it usually materializes in the last 36-48 hours. Look at yesterdays event

No one has any clue what the Euro is gonna do here in a few. My bet is it’ll be a bit wetter than 6z and a touch south.

Nope, Ralph is off on this one. UK is definitely a nod to the GFS. Moved the max to the south of 0z.

6z UKMET at h66 looked solid, trying to post but can’t get the file small enough here on mobile lol

Mid week snow cover could give a little assist with thermals depending on how much falls and what gets washed away Thursday post mix changeover.

@psuhoffman definitely potential for next Sunday, favors northern tier folks given the slp track.

I agree, h5 doesn’t look bad. Was aimed at us then pump faked. Could turn into something if that energy is real. Looking at the Sunday threat now.

Yeah none of these people actually care about what happens outside their window. All we want is RIC to get waxed. You guys can have 15” if I get 5 or 6 all jokes aside

Might I add our VP called Friday and asked if I could go to a client in Miami (weds AM meeting). Flying out Tuesday, and out of DCA. I’m sure they’ll end up in the light pink 12+ zone lol

I think we’ve seen this episode before. The GFS leads the euro to water, but then the euro finds the right solution and the gfs has to work its way back to what it shows. Consider me surprised if RIC gets 12-16”. If those totals do verify anywhere, I’d expect N of EZF and honestly probably would be near DC.

Just left the house, colder but not souther?

Fyp. I tell you what, it’s way wetter down to the SW over KY too

Would definitely give the gfs and Ggem camp a chance considering at range the euro hasn’t represented the pattern or blocking well.

I’m about to change my name to CarrollValley21

Reminds me of leesburg04 big time

I was only trolling, I definitely want us all to win. I’ve done, relatively speaking, pretty well this year. My folks between Dc and here have had a rough stretch the last 5 years. its like when we complain about Boston getting snow…different climo’s. RIC averages 11” of snow a year and that’s the long term average, it’s probably more like <10” given climo changes. Places like Westminster over to PSU land average 30”. That’s a big difference, and it’s not as much about winners and losers vs climo and anomalous.

I love when short pump gets pumped. @AlexD1990 I’m only trolling a little, but I’m sorry grown adults are upset people are ignoring their existence down there. The GFS hits em good.

A lot of us don’t give a rats ass about RIC, just ask Mitch.

Not really, warm and little zr to the far NW but thermals go to shit quickly weds aftn/thurs

The Ggem is an atrocious model, that’s the good news

No secret that its an IMBY sport.