DDweatherman

The gfs is only right when its own it’s own showing shit for us, not the other way around.

Oh I would take a dump on @CAPE porch.

Yep time to kick the shoes off throw the feet up and relax.

Good ole Clicksfin up there. @clskinsfan

3” yesterday and into this morning, 20.5” now on the season.

Not every day we get to enjoy the 12z euro, 18z gfs, and 18z euro in the span of just over an hour.

20z HRRR continues to show snow this evening, numbers ticked up a bit for northern fokes.

HRRR and RAP say its possible here in their recent run.

This is where models started to show the precip have a bit more northerly component to it as more energy pushes through. Radar starting to show that it seems.

Would be a better outcome back home for you guys.

Look at last run. We really shouldn’t use the 12k Nam at any range anymore

For comparisons sake, look at 18z 12k Nam hour 9 vs hour 15 from 12z. Safe to say we really shouldn’t use that model whatsoever (for anyone that didn’t already know)

I like what I see for DC in this, have been mostly bullish to this point, thinking 5-8”

reports from the home front it’s borderline SN+ back home in Carroll Valley, 29 degrees. Maybe we can get 2.5-3” outta this

Wife said it’s coming down nicely in Carroll valley. Here I am about to land in Ft Lauderdale. I’m sure we’ll over perform

Well you’re about to already be safe from bustage

I’m gonna love his commentary when DC gets 7”

In what way? If it busts positively for the north folks? Or just bust busts I’m about to depart DCA so the snow should be starting shortly

Through 4, yes 4 hours, I'm betting the 15z HRRR will be improved over 14z

I always used to love those days being the only one there and having peace and quiet to work. However, the drive back in traffic and poor drivers makes it less worth loving.

Those frames don't look bad, but 14z HRRR was sadly drier for DCA and NW.

Good stuff, I'm thinking 6-9" for CHO on this one!

You’re gonna get rocked down there, enjoy it! Make sure to go on a few Jebs

I have to sadly predict 2.2” for MBY, might be overdone but maybe there’s a NW death band that’ll show up. I won’t be there for it, so I’m sure there will be a surprise.

Such a classic one in the last sentence. Too many things to get blamed for! I too would be quite bullish going strictly off satellite images and WV, as the connection on this one is a long fetch of moisture with the gulf open for business. It wouldn’t appear to be moisture starved. Here’s to hoping the HRRR catches on at 13z, even though this is a 1-3” event for MBY. had to change my flight out of DCA to 1230 today when I was looking at radar and obs before bed. 4pm would likely have been no go even down in UHI hell.