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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Down to 18 degrees here!
  2. DDweatherman
    That’s 18z again, but regardless they’re very close.
  3. DDweatherman
    Let’s get crushed by the GFS and let it be the beacon of consistency/improvement we like/need.
  4. DDweatherman
    Let’s be honest, most of the models you don’t like (I also hate what I saw) are the lowest of the JV suite.
  5. DDweatherman
    Yes, I saw it was 12-14 over us at 12z
  6. DDweatherman
    Just when we thought the models were picking up the impression of the high pressure and the damming.
  7. DDweatherman
    We made great progress at 12z and I liked the nams through 36. Let’s see what the jv models have vs the middle school model set.
  8. DDweatherman
    It always starts that way and losses to end that way too…. But let’s hope it’s doing NAM things…could be post truncation and outside the best range. We were hoping it was good 2 hours ago. Most of these mesos do in fact suck, and AND they’re at range.
  9. DDweatherman
    The NAM kinda does truncate at hour 36 I believe? Could make sense.
  10. DDweatherman
    I see that, we’d have some good growth, dendrite central. Can still see the NW crew pulling off 13-15:1 ratios.
  11. DDweatherman
    The euro was definitely an improvement. Another 25 miles south and it’s probably 15” all snow up these parts and 10” down to 20 miles N/W of the fall line.
  12. DDweatherman
    Yep, and it is a bit colder. I appreciated 12z for what we’re looking for here.
  13. DDweatherman
    Not a met but fortunately that high of a nose 750-800mb can allow refreezing of droplets in time for sleet to be the ptype. Lower noses around 900mb don’t allow that.
  14. DDweatherman
    Randy’s right, looks like we’re not bleeding in the wrong direction for Euro. 12z suite stopped that for the most part, and several models going back in the right direction.
  15. DDweatherman
    Love seeing it trend south with the big totals west of the apps as well.
  16. DDweatherman
    100%. Glad it made the other positive changes, moved snow totals south and did get wetter.
  17. DDweatherman
    Part of the reason I’m rather bullish on this getting a little colder and not giving a ton of credibility to the NAM runs thermals. For one, an incredibly anomalous airmass. Two, the wave and the LP aren’t that intense to flood the ML’s with a crazy warm nose. I think the cold will fight back here.
  18. DDweatherman
    I like this window, think we’ll be tracking something. i liked this weekends window 12-15 days out and that’s turning out ok, lets get on a heater.
  19. DDweatherman
    Yeah I’m gonna need a final GFS snow map. I already see 2+ FEET in Alabama lol.
  20. DDweatherman
    Post snow map if you could? So I can send to my wife and she’ll think it’s for this weekend.
  21. DDweatherman
    Well the UK is definitely in the colder camp, snow down to NC still Sunday morning.
  22. DDweatherman
    As cavi posted above, it was actually a notable move in the gfs direction. We need those kinds of trends down the home stretch.
  23. DDweatherman
    We are certainly rooting for the GFS in our necks, it’s how this can produce close to memorable #’s for us. 15+ is not out of the question with a few minor changes overall.
  24. DDweatherman
    GGEM is a beatdown for a lot of folks here. 8+ for metro areas thanks to a big thump. Bit colder as well.
  25. DDweatherman
    Thank you sir; both are pretty wet. Good to see, give us the QPF first and foremost, especially in the front end piece. That’s how we all win
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