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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    I’m with PSU. I want to see what the gfs shows here in a few but it moved a lot wetter and obviously a good bit NW overnight. The blend is probably a fall line and N/W theme
  2. DDweatherman
    Yeah I’d take the icon or 12z gfs output. Let’s see what 18z shows.
  3. DDweatherman
    Icon is a beaut for us LSV and E folks
  4. DDweatherman
    Hey muhfuckas, get that football talk out of my thread. 29 black discussions only. go ravens
  5. DDweatherman
    I'm good with 3-5" baseline if you compromise the good and bad solutions for MBY. I'm good with that, and I'll be happier than a fly on shit if we hit the boom scenarios.
  6. DDweatherman
    An hour 48 model war with GEFS N/W and EPS a bit to the S/E, ops in between which aren't that far from each other in ground truth (evolution wise). QPF is still a big discrepancy.
  7. DDweatherman
    After the first couple hours when the low passes east of our longitude, I'd bet ratios would improve. That being said, 850's aren't necessarily bad for ratios better than 10:1.
  8. DDweatherman
    I'm not actually buying that shield. I think it'll be a decently wide QPF shield.
  9. DDweatherman
    AI is about .5 QPF for our neck of the woods. Good news is if the baseline is 3-5 with boom potential I’d lock that in
  10. DDweatherman
    For us, I like the direction the euro seems to be heading. I think the qpf shield will be broader and more GFS like. That should make a lot of folks happy.
  11. DDweatherman
    Eh I don’t 100% agree, juicier in max zone, s/w a bit better. Just a tighter shield. I don’t hate the run, think the swath will be wider
  12. DDweatherman
    Compromise camp still looks great to me
  13. DDweatherman
    Well here we are page 29 and needing 29 black from the euro
  14. DDweatherman
    10:1, Kuchera, or 86:1?
  15. DDweatherman
    I will say, the UK hasn't been awful lately, though it has had a tendency to be underamped rather than its old days of being over. The trend from 12z yday to 0z to 12z today is a major drying & de-amp. Don't know how much I care, but it is noticeable.
  16. DDweatherman
    I prefer checking the median over the mean.
  17. DDweatherman
    It's kinda like Trudeau for the longest time, his ass just wouldn't leave
  18. DDweatherman
    1-1.2" QPF in the backyard. So these numbers are basically 10:1. That's juiced as hell. The compromise camp is a crushing.
  19. DDweatherman
    Its noice sir.
  20. DDweatherman
    I can't help but LOL sometimes when the next message is oh shes a BEAUT clark
  21. DDweatherman
    The roulette wheel thing part 2? Maybe the dart board thing?
  22. DDweatherman
    Rgem is a little better with the rain snow line on 6z. Slightly more SE and totals not quite as outrageous, but still a big storm NW of the fall line.
  23. DDweatherman
  24. DDweatherman
    More important than the actual output as it’s likely over amped, I like the wideness of the swath of QPF. The more amped solutions mature the low a bit more by our latitude of course so that could be a contributing factor. However, there isn’t a shredder to the north that should result in one of our razor sharp cutoffs.
  25. DDweatherman
    I’d pay a substantial sum for the Ggem to verify verbatim. An IMBY Jack there
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