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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Consider me really interested in what happens Weds night when I'm trying to fly back into DCA. Maybe not so much for the flight in, but the drive up to my house from there.
  2. DDweatherman
    or maybe just in ground truth at gametime. These systems are uber sensitive to the smallest changes.
  3. DDweatherman
    It's like the NOGAPS/navgem reverse bias. If you see it amped, that's good because its usually progressive. If the HRRR is progressive and de-amped, shit because it's usually amped. Na mean?
  4. DDweatherman
    I’d take 3-4 to get us over 20” on the year. Then hope for a thump weds night
  5. DDweatherman
    I wish it was someone we all liked less that did the pbp’s lol.
  6. DDweatherman
    Me too, but I do like the synoptic's of how hard it might thump if it is snow. I'd definitely favor areas around me farther NW for sure.
  7. DDweatherman
    Euro does this dry thing usually then will juice up tonight or tomorrow day of the storm. It’s happened several times in our decent storms as of late.
  8. DDweatherman
    Soundings on the gfs back up the snow for some of us with part 2. Nearly isothermal at the tail end, but the entire column is below freezing with temps 30-32 NW to SE.
  9. DDweatherman
    Need to check soundings for part 2 to look into thermal profiles. NAM and GFS both just turned a lot of people to SN/SN+ with part 2 after it initially moved back in. May be rate dependent stuff but taking a look
  10. DDweatherman
    Part 2 weds night into thurs morning is real snowy on GFS, a 4-6” thump from that for LSV folks E & NE
  11. DDweatherman
    On a second note tho, you also add some on 78-81 frames check those out lol
  12. DDweatherman
    It’s ok. You should know I’m not gonna make shit up lol
  13. DDweatherman
    Meanwhile the gfs is a whole separate warning level snow weds night for the northern crew nw of fall line and n of DC
  14. DDweatherman
    Ones 10:1 the other is kuch
  15. DDweatherman
    You gained a whole inch of snow. Do that every 6 hours or even every 12 til game time and you got a great storm
  16. DDweatherman
    Can notice it especially 45-54 frames. Better orientation overall and some heavy qpf frames. It’s also colder for some despite that
  17. DDweatherman
    Good gfs run for those in the sweet spot but also those wanting qpf to inch north
  18. DDweatherman
    At least Kelce can grab a few catches here in garbage time to salvage Taylor’s love for him
  19. DDweatherman
    Dc is gonna get absolutely fookin crushed this run
  20. DDweatherman
    This is 18z?
  21. DDweatherman
    I hate the pivotal maps. Looks colder, but yes precip field is more expansive and heights are higher over us. Pivotal maps would lead us to believe precip not as heavy over there but who knows.
  22. DDweatherman
    Normally I’d go cross check but it’s the Nam and still kinda at range so I’ll let you guys deke it out.
  23. DDweatherman
    It should if it continues
  24. DDweatherman
    Haven’t we learned the long range hrrr is complete garbage
  25. DDweatherman
    Ah that was a lovely half of football ladies and gentlemen.
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