TugHillMatt

Hmmm...did I say I lived in Lysander? I meant Pulaski... (bolting doors and dialing Paul Blart security)

LOL...Really, I continue to tell @weatherbo that I am moving up to the UP to live in his basement...but something tells me my wife, nor him (for several reasons), would appreciate that...

Checking out next week...What an odd pattern setting up. Looks like the fact this is happening in January may be saving us. It's not going to be pretty...but I think most of us will be shoveling and scraping at least some snow and ice during brief warm-ups over the next week.

I appreciate your optimism during such a CRAP time. It's ALWAYS something...we need to just face it...it's tough to get solid winter here...especially during these days of climate change or whatever it is you want to call it. This indice's not right or that indice's not right...blah blah. The science of meteorology is changing.

What would that end up being for our region? 30 degrees, dry, and sunny?

Canadian looks more robust with the Sunday/Monday system. However, the stupid Lake Plain is a valley of moist warm farts and it would probably be glop.

GFS has been ugly most of this "winter" in the Northeast US.

Yeah, I think it is sleet as well. I have no problem with that. Like I said earlier today, sleet will help preserve whatever snowpack we may manage to have left...just a little longer. haha

Hmmm...if the Rgem ends up right for the Friday/Saturday wave, we could be looking at a longer duration winter weather event. The GFS is way warmer than the rest of the models with temps and dews getting into the mid 40s. Meh.

When I played the "loop" I legit couldn't keep track of which cutter was which...lol "Is it starting the loop over again? Oh, nope..just another cutter..."

The only thing that's bound to be accurate about a 10 day forecast these days is that in 10 days we will be waiting another 10 days.

Hoping for a sleet storm on Friday to preserve as much of this snowpack before the rain and upper 40s on Saturday. Too much to ask? lol Down to snow piles again by Saturday...maybe an inch or two of slop on Sunday to whiten things up again. It certainly looks active over the next 7 days, that's for sure.

Yup, so with the block there, we maaaay be able to get some system snowfalls even with the crappy epo. So, more of the "thread the needle" type stuff and then quick melts afterwards. Meh.

Yeah, I was reading about that on some of the other subforums. Getting indices to cooperate lately has been...well, we know. I'd prefer we get winter sooner than later...a solid blast from Mid-January to at least mid-February would be nice. Once we get past mid-February, the sun starts taking a bigger toll on snowpack...but we can still get hammered! A couple of late bloomer winters have had solid snowpacks through almost all of March. Many Winter forecasts called for December to be our best month and February to be our worst. Well, December obviously didn't work out (lol) so hopefully it will be a reversal. It's been more like an El Nino than a La Nina. Looks beautiful outside the window from this early morning's snowfall. I look forward to going on my Jebwalk tonight and enjoying the wintry day that today has served.

It doesn't seem there is much of a clean way to get out of this crappy winter situation we are in. It may be another winter where we hope to "just" make it to something lining up. Snowpack will not last long. Another 11-12, 19-20 winter?

The low is down near Ocean City, but we are in such a putrid air mass it is barely snow in NY. Lol

Syracuse will be adding to its number with today's snowfall.

6 inches here. Unfortunately, the band raced through here. It was an amazing hour of snowfall. Looks like extreme northern Clay and Brewerton were the only locales in Onondaga county that made it into the band when it was stationary.

Yeah, that weekend possibility may be Central NY's chance at a synoptic snowfall. With the high and ridge being stubborn in their places, I don't see the position changing too much. Bigger question is whether a wave actually develops. Hoping the Euro jumps on board...

It's booking it to the south now. Boo. I thought it may stall for a bit longer over No. Onondaga...but not sure now. Still snowing heavily.

Wow! You cashed in! As I just posted, the rates with this are fantastic!

The snowfall rates, along with the fluff factor, are amazing in this band! In a half hour, I am already pushing 3 inches!!! Just went for a Jebwalk. It was amazing. This is by far the best lake effect band I have experienced in my 3 winters here (shows how lame the LES was in S. Redfield the winter I was there.) I could end up with 5 inches by 6!!!!!!

Beautiful, giant flakes. Should be good for at least a couple inches

FINALLY in the band and it is dumping snow out there. Unlike your location, Ty,, it is coming with wind.

That's my fear for up here...that It weakens and sweeps through quickly.