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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    A really good track. I imagine it would be colder. More sleet along the R/S line.
  2. olafminesaw
    How much is sleet? Who knows, the ensembles won't get the thermal profiles right anyway.
  3. olafminesaw
    I look forward to the raging virga storm. Right on the North side of the gradient is a great place to be.
  4. olafminesaw
    I expect to see a shift in track over the next 24 hours, usually there is at this range. My guess is it will stay reasonably far south to start, but hug more inland, like the FV3. I'm anticipating a sleetfest.
  5. olafminesaw
    It's not surprising it's trended warmer, being early December, all frozen events are extremely rare
  6. olafminesaw
    Last night's UKMET was lovely
  7. olafminesaw
    That seems to be it's bias. It also shows ice as rain with the TT algorithm, I believe.
  8. olafminesaw
    Don't blame the model, blame the algorithm on that site. Sometimes I think we'd be better without snow maps altogether. The micro details they present distract from big picture trends.
  9. olafminesaw
    That's about 3" on my screen.
  10. olafminesaw
    The GEFS looks good, but I don't like that it slowed down some.
  11. olafminesaw
    No point posting 10:1 nonsense to be honest.
  12. olafminesaw
    The GFS has been jumping around quite a bit. Give it a couple runs and see if it jumps back south again. Unless you live in SC, in which case you shouldn't have had hope in the first place TBH.
  13. olafminesaw
    It's a lot slower. That's a big reason for the jump North I think.
  14. olafminesaw
    I'm calling it, before tomorrow night's 0z Euro will be the time to get in line to get ahead of the big rush. Wouldn't want to get trampled before going over the edge.
  15. olafminesaw
    I don't feel great about the FV3 jumping North so much so quickly, hopefully the trend doesn't continue at 0z.
  16. olafminesaw
    Pretty consistent, really.
  17. olafminesaw
    Sweet, sweet pivot.
  18. olafminesaw
    Supports the Euro in that regard. A bit further North of course.
  19. olafminesaw
    That was too specific. I'm just saying, with CAD it's rare to flip straight to rain, especially at 35.
  20. olafminesaw
    Their algorithm is silly, it has 35 degrees and snow for my location. Would certainly flip to ice or sleet at like, 28-30.
  21. olafminesaw
  22. olafminesaw
    I have a feeling someone is going to get legendary amounts of sleet.
  23. olafminesaw
    I think it has value, simply for the sake of allowing people to discuss the LR pattern in a separate thread, when there's a ton of posts.
  24. olafminesaw
    Wow, hour 192 is stunning. tucked into the coast, stalled out.
  25. olafminesaw
    The positioning of the High suggests it will be further south
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