HIPPYVALLEY

Or significantly NW.

Sleet getting to MA border for a bit wouldn’t be surprising, we know how that warm tongue often over performs.

I think so. A lot of models indicating some good banding out this way for a time when the coastal gets going.

I'll commit after tonight's model runs. Mid-levels looking pretty cold though, at least up this way and QPF looking solid just about all of SNE. Watching for any jogs N today.

He may still end up lamenting not being at his old location

I think pt 2 is what we wait until tomorrow’s runs to figure out.

Up my way we’ll be counting more on the first round waa thump to get us warning event, I don’t want to rely on where the best dynamics are from a developing Miller B that closes off too soon.

You’ll be cursing the N trend this time tomorrow.

This could be a CT special but nothing to fret about unless we trend through tomorrow night.

Not that Canadian and GFS are overly useful but they seem to show the N and S goal posts.

We just went from a few drops to +RA in about 30 seconds. Wasn't expecting that.

The Canadian was pushing that theme yesterday.

ICON is trying to put a pretty friendly H over Ontario/Quebec so we'll see how that plays out the next day or two.

As you know, WNE love us some SWFE's. They are the only really lock for decent snows W of the River.

You are leagues ahead of me with sensible wx knowledge, I was just going on climo experience and staring at a bunch of multiple hour model runs today. What I saw was coastal hugger or a slightly suppressed push E and weak dynamics with the perfect BM solution being a more tenuous resolve. I have not bought my winter model subscription so I don’t see high res hour by hour so I am detail ignorant. I am just trying to learn and have fun at the end of the day. edit: to clarify I looked at a bunch of 500 and 700mb maps trying to look for trends.

More than 12/1 for sure.

We are either going to hug or suppress I’m not sure I’m buying a benchmark track.

I personally only like model compromise as a reasonable forecast option inside of 72 hours.

What, we shouldn’t spike while the ball is at the 50?

Staring at a bunch of models last night the disjointed mid-level mess scenario was my leanings but I know nothing. Let’s see how models trend with strength of secondary next few days.

One reason not to trust it is that it puts what should be the CT River Valley screw zone totals in the middle of Worcester Co.

There bodies contain anti-freeze proteins. Unreal.

10" at Sugarloaf yesterday, if the map above verifies it will be some great T-Day skiing there.

Nice! Full winter mode up there.

Didn't you get like 1.5" early AM? Dave did and I had almost that much in lowly Greenfield.