Lol, you both have 2 possible snow events in the next few days, obviously Dave more than Pike but it has not been the worst winter...
Anyway, I'm optimistic the next 10 days.
I will be pissed if both of this week’s systems end up giving ski country / NNE less than 8-10” of snow. I put off a ski trip N this weekend hoping there would be much better base in the coming weeks.
I can see where the frustration comes from though, you , me and Hunchie have been in the sweet spot but that is the nature of SWFE events and we are hopefully moving into a pattern that lends itself a little more to Miller B’s.
They will stay all snow but the forward speed of the system, (potential) lack of coastal redevelopment and possibility of shredding a bit could all mean the difference between 10" and 5-6".
We switched our plans from going N this weekend to doing so a few weeks from now hoping for some base building. I don't mind missing the storm up there since February will hopefully offer more terrain.
Of course there's plenty of time to adjust but I think people can't help but take this season's trends into account when considering what can go wrong as far as snow chances are concerned. If models show a 990mb primary cutting into the lakes it will not exactly fill me with snow confidence. No matter what, we definitely don't want to see any weakening of the cold to our N.