HIPPYVALLEY

This thread has gone full If you’re not getting snow in January, yes it sucks but the atmosphere manifests as it does and our mathematical models are still a fallible tool. Just have fun and go outside every day every season!

Thus my Debruary comment earlier. There is little indication that we are done with winter in SNE.

That would be fun just to have a model fail of that magnitude.

Be careful, MPM moved to Worcester and jinxed their mojo!

Effects of the grand solar minimum?

Things will turn around in Debruary.

Looking better for the Whites also?

If it indeed trends weaker then the goal posts will be a narrow range of latitudes that get the best lift and totals. Your call for Monads out to Hunter would probably be on. I was really hoping to see the Whites buried b/c I have a few weekends planned up there in early Feb but MWV totals look meh'.

That’s gonna’ be the thing to watch during tomorrow’s runs. How strong is the confluence and does it hold or does it weaken and slide.

All this hand ringing about missing out on a big storm and this could still verify much weaker than currently modeled and be a big bag of meh’ for even NNE.

Why does the GFS snow output look good for The Greens in N VT and a lot of Maine but kind of paltry for the N Whites in NH??

Ugly run for the CRV from Hartford right up through Brattleboro VT.

GFS jumps that SLP all over the place. Weird.

Tomorrow night you will have a much better idea of goal posts I think (hope).

Many of us now take this into consideration annually with half veiled jokes about screwgie winters being followed up by wheel of 'rhea type springs that keep people at Fenway Park in lite winter jackets until Fathers Day. That elusive -NAO will park itself from 4/1 to 6/1 and the only entertainment here will be sarcastically commenting on the pitiful attempt at a severe season that the atmosphere mocks us with every year. At least in the CRV we squeeze out some nice dsd days here while the peeps inside 495 still have sweatshirts on.

FYP

Biggest hills are to my West. Do have some bigger hills about 20mi E of me. I don't really care as long as it's not rain. I'll take my 6" of baking powder while Hubby gets 20" of feathers.

Yeah but latitude will be important too. Yeah, I'd feel better over 1000' but I guess that's true with most storms right? Could be a shadow job of baking powder here and worse in the lower valley.

Can always adjust up if needed.

It’s funny how perceptions are because I did not look at the thermometer this morning before I went out with the dog and I was thinking to myself it was 10 or 15° out. This cold stretch is good though because the pond ice was not trustable.

Got down to 1° this morning. Will this be the year without a zero?

I'd prefer elevation for this one as currently modeled but lat/long will certainly help.

Mohawk Trail SP (Charlemont/Savoy border) has year round cabins if you are feeling adventurous.

Yeah, you do not want to rely on needing a wound up bomb dynamically cooling you. If it’s going to be a more robust high you will have a better idea by 12z Wednesday runs.