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HIPPYVALLEY
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Everything posted by HIPPYVALLEY
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Is there any snow in Conway or bare ground?
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I’m thinking we get a solid SWFE before January is over.
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I will say, it’s better to know you’re out of the game a few days out rather than having a last minute rug pull. -
SWFE
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I mean, no pack to absorb it, so might as well run 2"-3" of liquid off bare frozen ground into ice choked rivers. Got another week to build the ice.
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I’m hoping it evolves into more of a SWFE but I know what you’re saying. We have definitely seen cutters locked in at day 10.
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Ha, I was just posting about that. Certainly on the table.
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Wow at the GFS whiffing us this weekend, keeping us in the cold next week up until a rains to Maine storm for the weekend. Meanwhile snow across the deep south. That would be comical and the queue for the bridges would have a wait list.
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The one constant in life.
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The hour of sun was nice this morning now back to clouds. This has been a tough stretch. Cold, windy, no sun, no snow.
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Manic weenies chased him and Phil away.
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I doubt that outcome.
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That's generous, I'm giving it until 12z Tuesday. Fast flow chaos and strong confluence tells me it's done for SNE.
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I agree, it probably scoots due ENE, S of the Delmarva. Hopefully we get a surprise but I am not feeling this one. I'm not panicked about winter but this storm/atmospheric set up is tenuous and a carpet pull set up.
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and you know that model just crossed my mind
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There's a separate storm thread now.
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Sampling gets better tomorrow so let's see what happens at 6z and 12z.
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I said earlier today that I think we have until 12z Tuesday to set the trend. If this goes S we switch focus to what's next. No need to panic, there is plenty of cold air around and there will be numerous chances in January. I would like to get a shot at a big coastal before we switch our attention SWFE's.
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I'm certainly not writing this off but if we are going to miss, I'd rather miss far and not screw up the baroclinicity for a follow up later next week.
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You have been such a welcome edition to an area of W SNE/CNE that has very few posters. I can check in just a little less knowing that you've got the helm for W MA / S VT!
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Years ago, I could never understand why @40/70 Benchmark and others much preferred Miller B's or Hybrids over Miller A's. I learned to be suspicious of these rolling juggernauts from the gulf. Higher stakes, more that can go wrong.
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Don’t need to clear the bases with a grand slam and kill the rally, just need a few clean singles to keep it rolling:
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^^^ this
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We really only have about 24 hours to see the corrections we need. Then it’s probably slip sliding away.
