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HIPPYVALLEY

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Everything posted by HIPPYVALLEY

  1. You know, good question, I don't really know what goes on behind the scenes in the weather model world.
  2. Moving way to fast for big QPF. Probably a high end max of 1.5"LE somewhere in SNE and that might be pushing it.
  3. Some models moved towards more confluence today. Goalposts will be much more defined by 12z solutions tomorrow. Better sampling of all the players involved.
  4. Couldn't care less about jackpots, just want to see a period of +SN, because in reality, that in and of itself, can be a rarity some winters.
  5. I'm not going to get too worked up in either direction because as @weatherwizsaid, need to see where that best fronto sets up and might not know that for another day or so.
  6. SOP looks good for the moment. I'm conservatively going 4-6" here. My area up through S VT/NH gets saved by a pretty expansive precipitation shield moving into the confluence. Southern streamer is bringing decent moisture but don't want to see any trends weaker with that because for my area sheared = screwed.
  7. I feel like a lot of people are thinking about the spike before they have actually gotten into the end zone. Hopefully everyone from NYC to CNE gets plowable snows but I think the band of 8”+ will be narrow.
  8. Your optimism is a welcome balance to my jaded outlooks when it comes to snow accumulations in the upper Valley.
  9. Six hours of moderate to occasionally heavy snow sounds about right for many. Crumbs either side of that.
  10. Yeah, I’m just feeling cautious on this one. Let’s see how modeling goes once we get into some better sampling tomorrow. I’m just worried about S stream coming in weaker and getting suppressed. are you thinking we start to see slightly more amped north trends showing up?
  11. I feel like this will be a south of Pike event. Let’s see how models look tomorrow but I’m planning on a light event up this way.
  12. Better sampling tomorrow but can’t deny the S trend today. Confluence combined with a weaker S stream would close the shades on this one but I’l give it through Friday night to shift better.
  13. That one was a fine start to snow season. 17” in Greenfield. Sort of my last “big dog” storm.
  14. For the love of God, please let this be something to track.
  15. I was less than an hour's walk to 3x the amount of snow that fell imby.
  16. I like Presidents Day weekend. Maybe get some favorable N & S stream interaction to bring something up the coast.
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