Hoth
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Everything posted by Hoth
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Yeah, that is one scary looking cane. Insane eye wall and no sign of stronger outer banding usurping it. I would be shitting a brick if I lived on the mid-coast of Florida too.
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Looks like NHC finally pulled the trigger.
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No indication of secondary wind maxima on the recon flights that I've seen. Just a smooth climb in windspeed right up to the eye wall. Fairly axisymmetric appearance with that perfect donut hole eye. Not going to invoke the "A word", but it certainly has some characteristics in common. That may be lending stability to the system. Irma was similar. Went a good day and half at high end cat 5 before undergoing ERC. Anyway, a freaking incredible system.
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This cane is HAWT.
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Yeah I'd certainly peg it at at least a mid-level 4. Maybe 135-140. Maybe higher.
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Euro just south of the benchmark at 192. Plenty of time to back it NW a bit and get some good snows west of the river. Rain for James.
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That was a Donna track displaced a bit east. Not buying it, but we watch all the same.
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Best of luck to you.
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They should just cut that model off at like 120 hours.
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I have a hypothetical and I wonder if I can get some opinions. My great uncle lives in Sarasota just off the beach. His house is at best a few feet above sea level. If Dorian ends up plowing straight through central Florida and emerges into the Gulf around the Tampa area, Sarasota would have a strong onshore wind. Does anyone here believe it could be strong enough to pose a coastal flooding threat? I'm inclined to think this is a stretch, but I really don't know.
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Euro pulling a Matthew, but displaced about 100 miles west. Capital T trouble.
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Not if we nuke Dory first! Send in the B2s! Defend Mar-a-Lago to the last man!
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That's some scary shit. My uncle's mother contracted it years ago. Was a vegetable for about a year before she finally passed.
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Mike Ventrice noted there is a suppressive Kelvin wave passing over Africa the next few weeks. I know little about such things, but he says that one would expect it to tamp down any wave activity. Who knows.
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Sandysurvivor has lashed himself to an I-beam and is patiently awaiting for the world to blow away.
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What we call hell, he calls home.
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Ok, but we wait for the CRAS for confirmation before we really freak out.
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Wait until we get a mega CME. Goodbye grid for a long long time.
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I didn't realize we had a cat 5 Cape Verde storm sitting off the Bahamas. Tell me more.
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Could be, but I'm more familiar with them from looking at post mortem papers about storms like Hazel and '38.
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Until I see a strong cut-off low in the Ohio Valley, I'll sell.
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That'd be a helluva thing.
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Nice change of pace from all the dews talk anyway.
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Thank you! What was its name? Can't remember for the life of me. Also, imagine the collective terror if you could transplant a storm with that structure 400 miles west.
