Hoth

Dunno, but for my hood it's probably zero point zero...or maybe that's 2 deviations lol.

If that HECS comes in October and the rest of winter does bupkis, I disagree haha. Would I trade a guaranteed annual HECS of 24-36" in March to have Stowe-like 4-6" events every week from early December to April? I'd be sorely tempted. I love the tracking and drama of huge storms, but man there is something ineffably wonderful about just piling it on in steady, reassuring doses. Money in the bank. Manna for the soul. But the key word is "guaranteed." Obviously dealing with hypotheticals is far different than real world uncertainty. If you offered me a guaranteed 6" per week or a chance at a 40" blockbuster in March, I'd take the former every time.

Yeah, I mean many of us were chucking '14-'15 into the ratter category on Jan 20, 2015. The season suuucked till then. Now, it's perhaps my rosiest winter memory, along with '96 and Jan '11. A HECS in any season, with the exception of '11-'12, will pull it out of ratter territory, but anything less may not.

Fair question. 4 Seasons can probably give a better measurement for our area, but it was close to average, maybe a few inches shy. Somewhere around 30" at any rate. It was just the way it was delivered that was a good hard kick in the pistachios. Great event in early November, followed by more inches of rain than snow until March. I don't recall 01-02 much: I was 18 then and more focused on bedding girls than snow; think it snowed in early May that year though. '06-'07 definitely sucked. I didn't really start paying attention to seasonal totals until 2008-9. 2011-12 definitely is without a doubt the worst ratter of my life. I was in Boston, so we didn't even get anything from the Octobomb. The March torch was epic at least. 2015-2016 was bad, too, though not as bad as your area relative to climo, but I was still riding such a high from 2015 that nothing could bring me down.

Show me the Kuchie.

I didn't claim there was no data. I merely stated that DT put out a very bullish forecast last year and crashed and burned hard. I deemed last year a ratter mainly because expectations were so elevated going in. I actually had an average season for snowfall, but the way it was distributed at the very beginning and end of the season, with endless rain in between, was excruciating.

DT also called for 200% of normal last winter from the MA up through NE. JB is just JB.

F yes. Felt like three months of rain with a single decent event in March. Made worse by the heightened expectations going into the season and all the Modoki malarky.

Hope not dude. My uncle's mother got it and spent her final years as a vegetable. Not a nice way to go.

Yeah, Fishers (in the background) had to suspend ferry service that day, which is pretty rare for that quiet 3 miles of sheltered sound.

It's a nice idea, but I can't help but wonder what the energy cost is of mining, refining, packaging, shipping, installing and disposing of a gigantic battery. How much solar would you need to be reap to offset both your personal usage and all the fossil fuels spent to produce and dispose of it? I don't know the answer, but I suspect the payback period would be substantial.

Yeah, if it were cost effective PCG would've buried their lines in Cali to avoid wildfire liability.

When does FEMA get here? Acorns to thy knickers.

Stormsurge gonna have a fun night. Wish I was out on the island.

The Grinch will not be denied.

Man, it is dumping. Wish I was saying this two months from now.

Little Egg Harbor.

We'll see.

Gusts close to 60 down in NJ already.

There's pretty siggy lift on some of the guidance. Someone's gonna get smoked in the rainfall dept at the least. Maybe lollis to 4-5"

Thanks Steve! That's a cool map.

Maybe for the specific date? Dunno, would have to think Sandy will hold that record indefinitely.

Yeah Oct '17 went up the HV in the 960s and had a little embedded meso low that ripped up over the Cape and brought the 90-100 mph gusts. That was the ideal setup as far as wind events go. This looks solid for the immediate coast, as usual, but I'm more interested in the rain aspect than the wind IMBY.

Same experience here. Heavy rain and just as the dry slot approached the wind went nuts and took off the top of a tree in my yard and blew out a transformer.