Hoth

Yeah, that's the one. Deep low up through the HV. Cape got smoked, Stowe got flattened. I had no power for two days. Ray said it was forgettable.

Does this share any commonality with that big October wind event a few years back? That was the last time I lost power from wind. Although if I remember that one featured a quasi tropical mesolow that smoked the Cape.

That's about 80% of my seasonal total. Cherish it.

Oh my.

That's pretty early for these parts. Don't normally see severe watches until close to May.

We will rebuild.

That's an awesome map, Steve. Spot on for my area. I was trying to break 10" on the season and sure enough, the line is just to my north.

Kudos for raising the next generations of weenies.

We had the same tease in Jan '19. Everything on the modeling looked awesome, Ray was crowing about how his seasonal forecast looked spot on, and then poof.

Didn't shovel once this season. Amazing.

Brother outside Worcester reports lightning hit a tree in his yard. Best outbreak of the year probably lol.

Ripcord brings back memories. First double I ever did as a kid.

And we rain. That'll do it for this winter in all likelihood.

Nice fatties coming down. Grass whitening a bit, but mainly wet.

In and out bursts of snow. Not sticking.

lol classic valley hole right over my head.

Got a few flakes falling now. It's good for the soul.

Yeah, that's probably a decent representation of a mild case, or about 60-70% of cases. On the flipside, there's stuff like this: https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/virus-kills-chinese-film-director-100442476.html

Five days on average and up to 9 on some surfaces in a cool, humid environment.

I'm curious where you saw it doesn't spread as fast as the flu. From what I've read, typical flu has an R nought of around 1.25-1.5, with a severe pandemic like 1918 closer to 2. I've seen estimates for COVID19 ranging from 2 to 6. Case tracking and diligent isolation help lower that transmission rate, but once community spread takes hold even measures like China took can only reduce the infection rate so much. It does buy time though, which is important in preventing healthcare systems from breaking down. The trade off is, to prevent unchecked growth, you have to basically shut down your economy, which has its own knock on risks.

lol, and since social distancing is useful in preventing transmission, mission accomplished.

You've heard of bitcoin. TP becomes the new shitcoin.

For sure. We're talking about risk mitigation, not elimination.

So why do doctors in hospitals bother with them?

I don't mean to stoke fear at all, but I think preparedness and precautions are important. We're probably conditioned to be complacent because we haven't seen a threat like this in a long time. Here's an interview with Richard Hatchett, which I found to be pretty even-keeled and on the ball.