CAD_Wedge_NC

I believe we are headed into a stretch of normal winters like we use to have. Let's see what late Feb and March holds.

That's because there is a lack of precip now. It's not from lack of cold air up there.

Maybe they were on to something.... maybe we were too quick to judge. We might just have a threat after all.

Well then, let's see if we can trend this into a winter storm.

That's one heck of a change and a darn good signal at this range. Models ingested something today that shook up things. Looks like everyone is trending south. This one still needs watching. If the Euro comes in way south, then we will put more faith in this abrupt change.

That's a miller A signal the Euro AI. the others have a miller B...... With the current south trends, I would not count out an all-snow event.

It has some support now.... Euro AI made a huge step south and has a 2 to 3 inch snow mean across NC at day 9.

You guys need to remember that the GFS led the way with the last storm. All other models caved to it.

Maybe not..... This is our year. How many time have we seen long range torches get muted or replaced by cold? Happening a lot this winter as we get closer to verification time. It just wants to be cold in the east.

RGEM is trending better tilt with every run. Trying its best to go neutral. Also, digging more west with each run.

I guess GSP doesn't want anything to do with this setup. I did notice that the 18Z GFS moved west a good bit at 500. Trend or noise??

First flakes here.... and so, it begins. 28 degrees.

I thought that one was a dud. Maybe I am wrong.

Looks like the blue turd really did it ..... after all these years.

Maybe a nod to the models showing a dry slot.