Typhoon Tip

Northern regions likely won’t share in this sentiment but today turned decent down here. Most will share in a decent day tomorrow though. If rains two days later meh. Normal. It’s not a bad thing to sack Friday if it means continued stuffing of that word up the butts of those who obsess over typing it … In more practical matters, we need more rain

for the 324th time, those west Atl NAM cyclones are too far NW at this range

The first paper appears to be backing into the notion of expanding Hadley Cell. He does cite a source; "Trenberth and his co-authors in the Journal of Climate" I have not personally read Trenberth, et al, however ... I began observing this expanding phenomenon years and years ago myself actually. Really since 1998 to be honest.. but more so since the late aughts. I have since read of this (confirming) elsewhere. Supports grows in the compendium. It doesn't mean the Hadely Cell ( mean circulation ) is stronger, btw. Size and strength are not necessarily correlated in this sense. As an aside, as the circulation manifold grows, it's structure in fact has become less coherent and more nebular. Transient circulation anomalies with meanders and so forth. The termination of the HC circulation envelope is also not an identifiable boundary. It's a fade into the westerlies - above which is where the jet streams are located as we gain latitude, further north or south in each hemisphere. As the HC expands do to global CC, this was written as being primarily noticeable in the summer months but I have a problem with that assumption. One aspect about winters in recent decades, I have noticed the basal geostrophic flow velocities at mid level have been increasing in the middle troposphere. This can be corroborated by noted uptick in the number records set regarding air-land speed of intercontinental, west to east bound commercial flights, for example. Also, both modeling and observed incidences of 500 mb winds above 200 kts. etc... This can only happen because of gradient - to me, it is quite intuitive that as the HC expands, and the winter heights fall in the northern latitudes, the gradient anomaly would physically necessaritate speeding up the field. The aforementioned observations certainly fit that idea... So, I don't believe the HC is less expanded in the winters, so much as its geometry has been converted to energy in the form of speeding up the winter hemisphere. The Earth has a heat engine. As metaphor, a combustion engine converts chemical energy, to combustion energy, to mechanical energy, propelling a vehicle down the road. So of metaphor there. Speculation aside ...I don't have a problem with his assertion that the ocean temperatures, increasing at those mid latitudes, is because of the jets moving N/S - because I suspect the moving N/S and the HC expansion, are one in the same. That said, HC expanding would cause lengthier periods whence the SS wind stressing is less, thus causing less turbulent mixing - this would cause more heat to store in stratification ( possibly) in the top layer. It would also match the idea of these "oceanic heat waves" that have been observed with increasing frequency in recent years. As to the reaction by the latter author... I think perhaps if the original "hot take" ( lol ) had spent more time connecting the dots, the latter reader might have understood the causation - and not been so easily induced to pounce on the correlation.

Btw ... we're entering the solar maximum. for the next 92.change days we'll be doing caucasoid chromosomal damage controls ..

yeah, noticed that it's sped up some. originally - like 6 days ago - that one plunked down in, phased, and retro'ed the whole of it to make it one big shitty choke fest for 5 days. i was even dreading 2005 in a thought. not the case any longer.

should finally all be rotated away tomorrow...but again, Friday - ooph Couple winners, Mom's day through next Tuesday ...then we'll see if that TV vortex that really shouldn't be there, goes on to stress physics in order to fuck with us and actually pulls it off. lol

oh there's billions of planets with microbial life. the paramount question ...well, actually the paramount question is getting that proven. but i guess the penultimate question is whether there's life that contains sentience and capacitance comparable to ours - hopefully "better" in terms of collective morality and virtuosity ...but that's something else. LOL anyway, back to the cosmic JW discrepancy stuff: i don't dismiss theses notions entirely. open minded. but i have an 'accordion' hypothesis about the cosmos, that doesn't require portals, and parallels, ... bleeding previous dimensions into our space and the like. basically it goes like, our region of space ( out to perhaps 13 billion or so light years) is expanding ... the last 8 or so billion years of which has been expanding faster than light speed. that creates an 'optic event horizon' ...where that speed exceeds light, and so the light that is beyond will never be detectable for distances > than that 13 or so billion. but out there beyond is a deformation where space is nearly not expanding or contracting, demarcating a cosmic region where it is contracting - which may or may not be the same size as this expanding area we are a part. this goes on interminably...with zones of contraction and expanding, like an infinite honeycomb.. and yes, areas of contraction may shrink until some point where they start expanding, but so do expanding areas ... slow and eventually reverse... These cycles take longer than the 13 billion years we can see - so we have no record. this is sort of like looking at the top of a slowly boiling fluid - only space is doing the same thing at god like scales of distance. The expanding region from this hypothetical vantage point are like 'upwelling' ...and you can see between the upwelling regions, you have convergence - space may in fact be flowing like convection if you were to rotate our perspective somehow by 90 deg.

pretty good assessment here overall, yup. I mean I like to deeper dive into why these larger identified resonances behaved the way they did, but just as a step back recognition, agreed.

Yup...this too - wow, you're on a roll today. ha

alright alright. it's 62. making some progress.

...more over, looping suggests this is a stationary attack on my dignity ... relative to the flow. It's like a negative exposure of Ray in a snow storm - this is pic is a metaphor for that.

haha... i know. I saw pure blue out the windows. made coffee pure clouds. sat confirmed... it spontaneously blossomed as though making the observation itself somehow must have triggered it to do so. lol still completely overcast despite all this look of having more sun opportunities than cloud on this present sat vis image. it's one of those days whence the technology looks that way, but always overcast at ground truth. hate that - not that anyone asked.. but it's not the sun so much for me as it is the temperature. If it's warm... I'm sort of indifferent to whether it is cloudy. I'd take warm and wet over cold and wet, too. Although high dews and mold are concerns eventually...etc. But I don't grow to despise mid 50s in May if it caries on very long. The rain is over. Go away. Anyway, this image suggests the minority fractals are succeeding in keeping the majority unfairly cold - gee ...sounds like a present era sociological problem in America, doesn't it. haha

heh... just mentioned it to Scott. yeah..

I've been battling that thing... The telecon spread does not really suggest the depth and amplitude the operational guidance keep insisting of that thing. I'm waiting for them to finally respond to the 'non-linearity' of the surrounding, lowering favorability for having that depression in the TV in the first place, but they keep diggin that sumnabitch in there like an Alabama tick. Namely, there's a robust -PNA. In fact, ...one that has gotten more robust over the last 3 days days. Meanwhile, there doesn't appear to be any other indexes that suggest there's contention of proxy over the circulation mode... In other words, it all seems more -PNA ... So that TV whirl should be weaker. Nope... okay

Yeah... not directly observed, but they've narrowed the 'candidate regions' where to look, substantially. Reads like "point your cameras there cause it can't be anywhere else" I suppose an extensive process of elimination effort, winnowing down candidate locations. What I find peculiar is that we've evolved tech like JW satellite, capable of seeing details so vastly far off that we are on the verge of blowing up the going notion of the cosmic age and scale. Yet, we cannot see a 9th planet in orbit around an ordinary star like our yellow dwarf. Hmm. There are challenges, of course... But, those challenges are so insignificant when compared to now challenging the very construct of god, like seeing objects that argue the onset of time and space itself ( ). It just sorta seems any such 9th planet really is ... not actually challenging, then. Yet it remains so elusive. The thing is ...what they can see, empirically, is/are too evidentiary to explain otherwise. Telltale signs so coherent of its gravity source to believe it doesn't exist - its enough to all but say something has to be there. And, that something was/is sufficiently capable of ordering the random flotsam into the distribution they are seeing .. In the neighborhood of 3 to 9 Earth masses ( I think I most recently read). Until they see the planet, however, some how, some way ... this is perpetually in a state of "...might have been discovered" imho. We still need to change that expression to has been discovered. ... when/if they do directly observe the planet, I want it named after whatever ancient Latin word means "redheaded stepchild" ..do to it's being so ostracized and neglected out to the margins; it's Gaia so tormented it always thought no one loved it and it eternally suffered persecution in ever being a part of this solar system ... Which makes me wonder. Maybe it left. It's a run-away, and say ... what they can/are observing of the present day distribution( argument above), is now just a relic of its influence from antiquity. This planet may have been on a very expensive parabolic orbit. Similar to the demoted Pluto, not on the same plain necessarily as the inner family, but perhaps much more elliptical. This would increase the possibility that a rogue star, many eons ago, may have passed by the sun outer most tentacles, doing so close enough that when the hypothetical planet 9 was out around the aphelion the interloping sun nabbed it. Orbital capture. Hell, maybe it was Scholz’s Star, a discovered red dwarf that passed by 70,000 years ago... In other words, ...stolen. Either by it or some other star a billion years ago ...etc. Heh, that'd be a fun sci-fi novel. The stolen planet was an Earth analog, ... frozen and in stasis, waiting for its chance to seek revenge on the favored siblings - in keeping with the redheaded thing.. ha. And the new orbital insert post kidnapping and adoption, placed it into the warm, loving, Goldie Lock Zone nurturing embrace of the new evil start ...where life, "cosmically resentful" evolved out of a vengeful Gaia Chakra, thus was an inherently dark intelligence. Peering out at the Galaxy via their own "JW", they were doing so as a desperate species - on the brink of their own Fermian explanation ... And so they found us, thinking a nice alternative for a fresh start. hahaha nice.

Example... https://phys.org/news/2025-05-year-mountain-wont-fast-climate.html

looks like it starts brightening right on the back edge of this final band... probably associated with the main front... highly inverted system coming in as a cut-off as it does. Tomorrow will be 73 easy in this thermal profile if we get sun. In fact, I could see TCU erupting in that "dry" slot.

Nah that's close enough and your wet... you're in it to win it bro, accumulating rain. Good for you.

Noooo sun for you, ONE YEAR!

heh...actually a couple of decent days there in the latter mid range but that pig cut-off beyond then is coming completely out of left field. - figures, it's way out there. good thing it doesn't fit with any prior indicators as something even physically plausible.

man that's a piece of shit gfs run... wow

The sun needs another half billion years of life and that'll do it. Lol Old Sol is a mid aged star... over the next billion years it will increase in luminosity by almost 10%. Then it will begin fusing helium, and start expanding... It'll burn helium for another couple of billion years but then it will begin to expand so vast that it will first engulf the orbit of Mercury, Venus some hundreds of million years later, to probably knock on Earth's doorstep. It will be a cooler red giant by that time, but ... "cooler" is a relative term. Earth will be a cinder. Glowing in a lifeless infrared thermal radiance. And, as the expulsion by the giant phase start it will impose a lot or orbital drag; Earth's could decay and end up inside the envelope of the sun's outer layers. The end. We really are approaching the late innings of this planets nurturing life potential. Demarcated as the "Goldie Locks Zone" ... it's the orbital distance that is ideal for liquid water, and a planet's only magnetic field protecting it from harsh radiation from space ...et al, allowing all that is under the sun and our history, including Trump, to have ever existed ... LOL. But, the hell on Earth he brings - or is trying to - will get here without him, given enough time. When that GLZ migrates out and leaves Earth behind, we'll convert the oceans to WV and that'll put us in a Venus predicament. Some models have Earth like Venus in a couple billion years. But, folks need to be aware that within a single life time or two, none of that matters. The "ecological domino collapse" scenario is not just plausible, due to rate of climate change surpassing biological adaptation rates. In fact, that can happen while the Earth is still technically capable of supporting complex life, including humans. The codependents is more than a first order derivatives. There are transitive/non-linear stresses that take down 2ndary and tertiary ... n degrees of separation life. These are the dominoes. Such that they were indirectly still needing the total vitality of interrelated health of each input into the system- entirely intuitive. This can all happen quite swiftly... leaving a period when the Earth could still have breathable air, albeit warmer, with oceans still lapping at shores ... barren otherwise. Life in the ocean is not unaffected by all this. Deep ocean perhaps would survive the CC attribution death waves...

It just sucks when when you have the weight of stupidity at the one end of the boat that has the hole while all those who know know better have no choice but to be ON THE SAME BOAT

The other way I know the warm ridge idea has legs is because every time since the mid 20teens there's one in the model, the operational GFS canes Cuba/Bahamas. it's like responding to numerical instability more than an actual system and then spontaneity in the physical processing of the model takes over and it just fabricates one - but it requires the deep layer easterly anomaly to the circulation mode down there, which is what happens when? duh duh dunnn... there's ridge over the eastern CONUS.