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Typhoon Tip

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  1. might be a dangerous heat wave toward the end of the month
  2. I know ...but that's the tip off. I mean, there's only so much Earth can do. haha
  3. Ha.... better than "flawless" that's a neat trick... But you know, in quantum mechanics there can apparently be to concurrent states so ... maybe you can have both perfect and perfect Haven't looked at the weekend yet
  4. It's -SAD, or "summer SAD" in psychobabble, Scott. (he/she is not the only one I suspect suffers that in here )
  5. no matter what the species... they're called 'widow makers' for a reason. heh
  6. Thursday's a top 10 ...maybe top 5 day if using these raw FOUS grid numbers ( NAM). 7 kts NW down sloping compression under +3 or +4 850 mb. Mixing probably limited to 900 or 875 but with unadulterated early solar max irradiance at 100%, the sounding will been dry air unstable to 900 feet or so and it will be warmer than standard adiabat in the lowest layer That's approaching flawless.
  7. Norway is a "soft" hard maple wood? What were the circumstances behind the felled tree ? I happen to like the spring flower blossoms of the Norway - they have a nice aroma that reminds me of spring. It sort of fades into Lilac season... It's probably just sentimental nostalgia from having grown up with them. I just didn't have any reason to be aware of any issues with them. They're trees. Pretty yellow and orange pallets in the autumn.
  8. 70 so far the wind's a no show here. Perhaps we have a thinly stable layer just yet...
  9. Not sure about "big" per se... but I agree. I explained this yesterday/why... at the time, the signal is/was mostly numeric, with some hint in the actual spatial synoptics of the general ensemble means. The operational models were, and in some cases still are, lagging a bit on that. The 00z operational Euro's extended is now just detecting the change. First to do so. It's got some spuriously oddly wrapped cyclones in the interim running up where it shouldn't but removing those and normalizing out those daily aspects that look engineered by the run .. the height changes paint an 80/60 day-night regime from IND-BOS, in real seasonal move. We'll see if the others begin to do so.
  10. Not sure it matters as an augment or not but it may be worse than usual. It seems we've been through an unusually proficient upwelling circumstance along the interface water where the Labradorian flow abuts the warmer Atlantic. Those 'tuck' waters running parallel to the coast out there are impressively colder than normal according to this source: https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/todays-weather/?var_id=sstanom&ortho=1&wt=1 so yeah...intuitively any S or even SSW flow is unusual doctored. I wonder if this also the case NW Pacific. Because from the vantage provided above, ...we are uniquely cold abused. F'n weird... air and sea since last October is like a cold targeting attack right here
  11. Egads.... don't turn the wind onshore this summer.
  12. And here we are ... 63+ already. Full sun. Bit of a breeze but we're probably making 74 for a high so that won't be much of a factor. Tomorrow's warmer yet... So it was 53 here yesterday. Dry though. Grading is subjective silliness but will play ball for a miniute and say it was a C day. Today is an A.
  13. The operational models, all of them ... are lagging behind the mid month warm signal that both the numerical indices, and the extended range ensemble synoptics ( all three) suggest. They are flipping the script after ~ 12th to 15th in there, but the oper versions are feeling pretty strongly that a winter pattern is most appropriate and likely during the entire summer of 2026 as we continue to face an inevitable GW future... The operational versions are oblivious. Reloading a winter mocking pattern foot. They're stuck. It's gotta end at some point... So I guess we'll see.
  14. see...I think it's really just whether the sun is shining for a lot of return engagement in this social media. I've come to find over the years there's a coherent increase in the complaint rate based on whether that is the case. Less about temperature and more about sun. Cloudy and dry.... 'top ranked shit day' this and that. All complaints more than just seem to settle off if the sun blasts through south facing windows I have a stretch of cedar fencing coming in tomorrow ...I had to go out and prep the property line; pretty nasty job toiling in contaminated dirt and old human detritus. This is kitty corner to an urban setting so it's not like rooting around in nature's regolith and bucolic Earth. Pretty sure I was turnin dirt and exhuming plastic fragments from 1972 back there. Gross. But I can say...dry and cloudy at 52 F? It was a helluva bargain over having to do that toily task if were 80 F and humid. ho man. it's all relative I guess
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