Typhoon Tip

We should bear in mind that as of 2023, if we consider all transport vs the total of all of the industrialized world, fossil fuels is a lot less than that used to power industrialized civilization. Yeah, EV will shorten the car/light truck load, but seeing as some 70 or so % of fossil fuel energy consumption is outside of the transportation sector, and 70 % is still above what is the geophysical harm threshold... bigger eggs to fry. It's not hurting, no - I read that a long while ago. I ran this inquiry past Luna/AI and it's still the case per Stanford studies. Industry, et all, is the bigger problem in the carbon footprint of humanity. The same Luna Q/A resulted in this as far EV offsetting ... "Using 2024, the best-supported estimate is roughly 60%: about 17 million electric cars, plus roughly 1 million electric light commercial vehicles, out of a total near 29 million electric road vehicles when electric two- and three-wheelers, buses, and trucks are included. " That's A B, the surge in EV is notable, but has a long way to go. For the sake of morality and virtuosity, a surge may be an indicator of shitting attitudes and acknowledgements ... may be. It would need more sociological/geo-political type review of course. But even so, considering current on the road usage were a small minority as recent as 2024. We'll see if a surge closes the gap very much but it had a long way to go. By early 2025 only about 4% of the world’s passenger vehicles. So good (possible) indicator of an awakening state; vastly insufficient. Based on all this, I would be surprised if oil spike shifts lower based upon EV surging. Obviously it would effect the curve some small amount... What is needed to turn the curve down is forcing humanity to objectively acknowledge that CC is tantamount to the stench of shitting on their own dinner table - metaphor.

whatever that was or wasn't, okay. but that above is probably a record challenging warm blast clear to moose dung

heh... in and of itself this is rather impressive for a week from tomorrow

Heh...going below average is a low probability choice - per both epistemic to climatology, but then physically substantiated by empirical/objective data results over recent decade(s). There is questions about the nocturnal temperature behaviors. Yes. They tend to own our departure weight - why so is a matter of ongoing science. Probably just water vapor logistics and the fact that our region is basically the asshole of the continent. Daytime recoveries are where we are being enabled from having to admit certain things. We just don't get as hot as we could have in most circumstances. ... Countless times since 2000, all signals modeled argued for warmer results from synoptic air masses, but then what really happened was a poorly predicted cloud/ceiling, and/or precipitation timing that forced an offset. The end result was more like 'colder relative to the recent mode' while not really being colder than 30-year norms. But, also lagging our common experience behind the rest of the world... Then we do get a below normal pop here and there... but if we get it, there is an under the radar sort of behavior note on all of them that they don't last. In the 1980s... a massive arctic intrusion would happen, then it would take 7 to 10 days to recover to normal. Now, we get Feb 2021ers where it is -9 F at 1pm with 22 mph wind gust, and just two days later ... it's 40 and above normal. Then it is 40 for 5 days significantly offsetting if not erasing the deep incursion event entirely. Climatology as moving goal post is a facet that apparently most acknowledge but I sense not enough use or allow to modulate impressions of the future. So the crowd and consensuses tend more so than not, to sag below the result curve. I see that from just about every source... I read qualifiers like, ' aware of this and that regarding climate'. Then my internal monologue interrupts that reading voice with, 'but if that's true it would be unwise to think the proceeding' so it's not clear the +delta aspect of the climate system et al is sufficiently modulating - this is evidence spanning all of society - not just in here. No one's getting singled out...

Tomorrow's sounding is interesting meteorologically ... which means nothing to a snow-obsessed, dystopian d-drip seeking audience but it is what it is... This is the first time I've seen the 900 to 800 mb layer be that cool modeled so far this autumn, but the wind being W and paralleling the hydrostatic thickness contours, that means zip actual CAA. So, the west wind is sourcing from a mild region and albeit feebler sun work to offset about evenly. We just end up with -2 at 800 mb over a milder llv ... steepened the lapse rate.. Probably will cause gustier chop to the wind. 2 meter's possibly approaching 20 C though, and above normal.

It skewers into their ...phew, winter's here now take on reality

It's a silly semantic thing. Probably. altho, some may think it actually means something. If the charts look like a low or 41, yet it bottoms 31 at climo holes and the like, those results are disassociated local feedbacks that don't represent the qualitative state of the whole. ... interpreted as "it's not 'posed to be that cold" -almost imagine a tone there that something's unfair. ha Radiational cooling is modified by local feedback phenomenon. But the nature of what that does/is, it is disassociated from the larger expectation - the latter being some combination/weighted seasonality vs synoptics. A product that is evinced by the fact that here we are at 11am and it's 57 unilaterally even where it was 31 - an example. Objective reality: it is both 31 and cold, while being in a 41 suggested holistic synoptic state. Both are true. Nothing else. There is no "fake cold" Nothing novel about this ...it's just the shenanigans of public noise - shimmering with intelligence as it does

it's amazing how the universe finds a way to get to entropy. like ...keep using oil, the temp rises to the point where you don't need to use any oil. problem solved. lol

heh...that region in the NE US looks like the (superstorm 1993 + climate change)/2

I believe Apple's bringing a flip option back

You'll be 27

it's 72 here with warm sun and angel kiss breezes ... he's talking about graupel. ha

There's been a 'year without a summer' ..perhaps more than once. I wonder if there's a year without a winter. Probably there's already been one. Preferential bias just doesn't recognize it... 2012 was close.

Must've beeen distracted ... because the speed in which I've just realized we're moving through the solar transition season is something else. It just occurred to me we are closer to the solar minimum now, than the max, along that timeline journey.