Typhoon Tip

Not sure what the semantic registry is on your side, but going from not a positive PNA to a positive PNA is a regime change Now, if you’re talking about whether it is going to provide this that or the other thing …who knows The other thing is that PNA may not last that long because there will be another regime chain shortly thereafter- if the extended range multi ensemble sourced indicators play out the way they look now. We’ll go to a negative EPO “regime“

In fact, this 18z GFS run came in with a trough deep enough to get it done for the first time in this approach, but ... the wave spacing of the individual S/W's are interfering.

Heh... pistol to head I'm more inclined to suggest the 13-16th based upon science of mass field modulation and correction ... The period after that isn't 'bad' per se, but honestly... we slip the +PNA and then see a new pattern signal right on it's heals that is an abrupt blossoming of a bona fide negative EPO ( not that weird N. Pac thing last month) ... I'm just referring to the actual spatial construct of the hemisphere in the deeper ranged ens system, all three agreeing in principle. The problem with that is, we could observe a seesaw in the pattern just the same ... a flip back "warm" ( ish ) in the E. There's a spatial synoptic argument for it. It shows up statistically/climatology on negative EPOs where a fair number of them actually drop heights in the W immediately downstream of the Alaskan sector ridge. A variation that wouldn't likely be sussed out at this range necessarily. I actually think in the winter where we have established cold on this side of the hemisphere, the flow rate will encourage lengthening L/W lengths ...that might offset the tucked west scenario, too. So some help perhaps That all said, I don't see that as encouraging as this rather powerful looking +PNA burst that is happening in the foreground ... It starts ramping earlier actually... late this week, and maxes around or just prior to the 15th... Usually it is along or near the apex, we engender a bomb or a series with aggregate energy. The operationals have a kind of 'correction vector' that is pointed toward amplitude when there is such a loud signal, yet they are lacking. This signal predates their typical extended stochastic bs.

Yeah, I know ... Lipid panel will improve ...that was the point there ... typing fast

Cut out all processed sugar as much as retentively possible. I mean you gotta go at it with remorseless vengeance and assume with distrust in your heart that whatever, where ever, and why, are all conspiring to sneak it past your attention. Everything about food stock provided by the "Industrial Food Complex" since the early part of last century is reconstructing sugar molecules. Stay on the outside of the grocery store perimeters. Only by raw and cook your own. NO EXCEPTIONS! Go Allulose and Stevia extract ( organic sources), about 96/4 mixtures if you have to have sweet. A teaspoon of honey is probably okay ( but that doesn't mean 20 of them either). The former tastes exactly like the toxicity with 0 toxicity. You won't know the difference and it has zero glycemic index. Sugar beyond the biological evolutionary signal ( an amount that is shockingly lower than people are aware) is connected to 90% of all inflammatory responses in physiology, and just about all systemic problems traditionally associated to 'just aging' are in fact connected to different degrees of inflammatory response. What's actually aging is the body's ability to resist the toxins of access sugar. Easily fix.. Gout and other forms of arthritic flares, to hypertension to pre Diabetes and eventually arteriosclerosis and cancers ... all can be traced back to inflammation. You'll lose weight. Your cholesterol will plummet ( particularly the tri-glics and ultra LDLs). You'll notice a reduction in frequency and intensity of maintenance areas of the body. Hell, you might even recover some

Ha... essentially, winter in the northern hemisphere is in or around this circle

yeah, I see some boat missing by those making an "analysis" of these 12z guidance.... haha. The Euro was really close .. really really close to going bonkers with that Jan 15 thing, which was a massive step toward amplitude comparing the prior run. The CMC also moved significantly toward a deeper +PNA with coastal implications heavily flirted. I dunno. From this range? I call that plenty to look at.

They use a process known as 'reanalysis' - basically, taking what is physically known about the system, and then putting data that was empirical ( or very closely estimated to be consistent witth - ) and feeding that data to the mathematics. The results paint a likeness that is 82 ... 91 ...99%tile of what was natural. So, reanalysis is not always perfect, but if we are over even 60% in confidence/reconstruction, that is significant - and significance can the be tested against other data sets that are also related. If two sources come back with similar results, that improves the confidence. They're indicating at the bottom of that article, "These findings are the result of a statistical analysis of the 250mb jet stream using the Twentieth Century Reanalysis dataset." In order to get more discrete than that would have to go to the source/server they are referencing, and delve into the paper's "methodology" section

CMC's buckin for the 15th.... either way, that's a pig +PNA amplitude. I'd be almost - if it were not for the last 10 years of oddities ruling the outcomes - be surprised if something didn't manifest during that period, because regardless of this Canadian run ( which is easy to do HAHA), that signal is very much still active in the index modalities

There's a lot of these articles out there guys that discuss/elucidate the fast atmosphere we've been observing - these being papers that are scientifically researched and then adjudicated via the procedural accrediting. Here's a good one among many, https://phys.org/news/2022-02-jet-stream-brought-storm-eunice.html Phys.org is site the provides paraphrased renditions of the formal works. They do sometimes op ed... but, when they are referencing they also provide links to the actual paper. "Jet stream that brought storm Eunice has been getting faster over last century New research from the University of Southampton shows that the winter jet stream over the North Atlantic and Eurasia has increased its average speed by 8% to 132 miles per hour. The jet stream, which this week brought storms Dudley, Eunice and Franklin to the UK, has also has moved northwards by up to 330 kilometers."

That's true in either direction. You may find this hard to believe ... I don't try to substantiate more or less, up down right or left. I wanna know what's going on. that's it. that's all. that's the whole thing. One has to mention it at times, because it is a factor. I don't know how much or less at any given moment - no one does. It doesn't appear my or anyone's mentioning it is actually being considered fairly - so yeah, that? that's a perception. LIke it f'n matters in the grand scheme of anything, anyway. haha

I don't believe you are as fair as you think you are when exchanges teeter. You get combative dude. sorry. You're clearly being evasive about the notion that you choose to use words that frankly, ...anyone with a modicum of intelligence doesn't really need to read into anything to understand your attempt. And when called out, that's when this derailed - I'm giving you the benefit of the doubt - mainly because I do the same thing to people ... LOL. It's not always on purpose. Whatever look, I think you need to do some reading. It doesn't appear you have enough exposure to the accredited science on matter. If so, perhaps you'd be less inclined to accuse people of having CC biases -

It's pretty clear to me that your hot, ... then telling me to chill out. Nice LOL

I did not do that presently at any time this morning ... YOU DID You're evading ... we're done

Yup, "You have this proclivity" has one connotation, it implied me having a bias. I'm telling you, it's not based on a bias - it is backed by research globally outside this tiny social media-sphere. Also, with a pig ton of face-smacking obvious observations available to anyone that is in fact NOT biased