Typhoon Tip

It's through NE zones... In fact, it's 53 in Groton and 66 2 mi S of me at the Oxbow ob on Rt 2, span of about 8 mi as the crow flies. ..so it's on my doorstop. 40s in Lowell and Burlington. I think this might be ahead. The GFS insists it moves back temporarily while that low transits CNE tomorrow but...heh.. wouldn't be shocked if the WPC analyzes the charts that way when in reality it's a 47 deg butt poker. 3 km is ugly on Thursday. Jesus... 36 under slate sk is quite the BD ram rodding. B N for Apr 2

12z NAM has achieved the absolute piece of shitness. A rare state of utterly 0 redeeming weather value from afternoon tomorrow until sometimes nearing dawn on Friday.

Probably goes in the april thread but man ... 12z NAM even colder... fronts slips SW of Logan at around 12z tomorrow morning, than it's 33F there by nighttime, per FOUS. Nice 20mph laminar NE soothing nape kissing wind too.

Looks like it’s raining sort of where it needs it most ? relative to drought ballyhoo

Oh I’m sure it’s cruel blue balling … but we dream

Unfortunately ..we gotta get through Thursday first

ho man... 18z Saturday on the 00z Euro

Expect the cooling shits to arrive NNE to SSW by this afternoon starting NE zones. Brian's already pretty well f'ed while Kevin might spare some humanity. Front will wobble around along the Pike tomorrow but climo argues it's correcting S. That's a nasty unwanted polar high moving E out of Ontario spanning mid week... warm enthusiasts might turn to other hobbies until Friday. Models have finally coalesced for a Friday AM scour out. Thursday is faux warmth in that pressure pattern as that's a piping E wind off the SST nadir. Good luck. Probably for Metro west of Boston, even down in CT ... that could be a 25 F day to day temperature change from 18z to 21z, between Thur and Fri

Spring peepers triggered here… Not even a little bit I mean they’re like loud choruses driving down the roads

right- and part of my reason for mentioning is because there've been pretty much 0 milder weekend days, so far. as far as i can personally recall that is. All the warm/ish anomalies have been week days. Looking for the first no-snow-on-ground 70 F day with light wind on the weekend

Saturday was looked upper tier on the 00z Euro but you're not asking ... heh

You had to know/suspect that this particular spring would have a preponderance of these BD headaches.

In that solution/depiction? No, CT definitely porked too. Matter of how many inches haha.

12z NAM has a vicious W-E aligned frontal boundary on Wednesday ... It tries to get the region damn close to even freezing rain metro west of Boston. The FOUS grid has 0,0,+3 over Logan, which academically means 0C at the SFC. It's probably more like 32.9 It's all coming down to where to place this stationary boundary. The cold side is prooobably being over assessed ( NAM) in this case, but... in principle, we're still looking easily at 40+ deg F of variance across 100 miles or less with this set up -

00z guidance attempting to lure warm enthusiast into a set up ... muah hahaha I grew up in the ... antiquities of modeling yester-lore ( eh hm), and recall a day and times when if there were ever a BD on the chart near Maine... the verification snows in Atlanta Georgia. No not literally ..but if figuratively/sarcastically. Point being, the models were just inadequate in handling them, particularly because the physics for the lower BL was still being evolved, as well ... the modeling tech was intrinsically having very low resolution/grid point evaluation density when processing. Those limitations meant that BDs, being almost entirely in the lowest 250 mb of troposphere, were only quasi detectable. like hinted at ? Now, huge improvements in the wholesale modeling, from input density/grid resolution, to improvements in various BL assumptions in the baseline physical equations means that the models at least know that there is a BD on the map with far better coherence. They're even improving on the position of them, per interval. Having said that... those ancient early life abuses don't set me up very well for mature adult relationships with models - I tend to still be relationship avoidant/fear of intimacy when it comes to dating prospects that include actually holding off BDs. It doesn't help that BDs are by nature a 'rough sex' experience and I'm not into that sort of thing