Iceagewhereartthou

That's awful! For once I'm not on the torch side - 37 and drizzle here.

True, but to be fair, in " a few weeks" it will really be too late for most outside the mountains to reasonably hope for any wintry weather. While it's true SC has had very good snows in late Feb through mid March, those storms tend to take a miracle and we don't have the climate we used to. I'm still hopeful to get one more chance, but I just have very little confidence of ingredients lining up at the eleventh hour. Maybe we get a repeat of last year with March being colder than Feb, but it still didn't deliver south of I -40. We'll see, but we're almost out of punting room, and the " we've gotten good snows... " line of keeping hope alive is likely just that.

It may be upon us. A few well timed hours of sleet and mix in early december kept this form being a complete blank, and another 2011-2012. At GSP last 3 Febs: Feb 2017: +8.2, only 6 readings below 32, lowest 26. 12 days above 70 with a high of 81! Feb 2018: +7.9, only 6 readings below 32, lowest 22. 8 days above 70 with 2 reaching 80 and 81! Feb 2019: (Through first 7 days) +12.4, only 2 readings below 32, lowest 28. 3 days over 70 with high of 77! Feb just keeps getting worse and worse.

This absolutely SUX! at least 3/4 of the nation actaully feeling like February, and some parts have even had a pretty good winter. I'll tell you what, the southeast ridge this past decade has been an absolute beast, and we just can't get it to go away.

Unfortunately the only frame that looks good for those south of I-40 (non ice) shows up at hour 360. THAT looks really good, but at 360 it's a complete pipe dream.

Well it's Feb 5th and I have clouds rolling in overhead. I wonder if I might get some frozen precipitation? Oh wait, never mind, it's 72 degrees!

Fixed it!

Good thing accuweather isn't accurate; only gives me one more day with highs in the 40s (48) from now till next fall (November?)!

If not for the early dec system and accompanied cold, this winter would be a definite "F" thus far, and I'm not talking in comparison to what we were hoping for based on projections. That's the only frozen event, in my backyard, and haven't seen anything else even minor. And while we haven't seen a ton of 70s or anything like that, it's been very mild for the most part. I think my low is 18, and only been below 20 3-4 nights. I usually have at least one morning below 10 but nothing close. Were halfway b/w Chicago and Miami. One might think that if Chicago can get to -30, we might at least see single digits, but nope. Terrible winter so far, with a very warm outlook coming. Hoping for something after V-day is likely going to be fruitless. There was another winter a few years ago where most thought the indeces were all aligned and it was a big bust, but so far this one is worse. Oh well, maybe we'll have another chance or two after V-day.

Neither is spending six months of the year counting down to the first cool front, and having to hope against hope for one little dusting of snow to get a little change of pace! So where's the balance? Boone?

In all honesty I would agree. I think we see one or two more shots between now and first week of March. Despite recent record warm February's, where winter was truly over by this time, this pattern has just been too changeable to throw in the towel yet. We'll see, it's sure been a hair puller so far.

What we all were hoping for back in the Fall with the most epic winter predictions of all time: Now that reality has hit:

Wow, that's early! Looks like its April. Made it down to 27 this am, and had just enough cold to keep that from happening here. Boy that tree is in full bloom though, not just budding! BTW, just checked out NOAA; there's at least a WWA out for EVERY southeastern state except two; Florida and SC. Kind of expected in FL but how pathetic is SC?

I really like Chris Justus, but his facebook says "coldest air in several years" coming after the front, then the wyff outlook shows highs in mid 40s, lows in 20s. Not only did he forget about last Jan, but that's not even the coldest of this wimpy winter.

Honestly, with the semi-permenant southeast ridge and totally absent wintertime -NAO over the past decade, it seems to be becoming the norm. Frustrating as heck, but unless and we can get some larger patterns to realign in our favor this will continue. I'm afraid this is the new normal. With the mountains already making it difficult, much of SC may see less snow than Mobile and FL panhandle going forward. If CAE can't sneak something out in Feb, they'll be looking at a six year drought by the time next winter rolls around. Even GSP has seen only two accumulating snows in Feb and March COMBINED since 2015, and they were .4 and .5 inches. Snow in SC is quickly becoming a thing of the past.

If it's true that we'll have to punt till mid Feb in hopes of getting a better pattern after that time, most south of I-40 are probably about done for this winter. I won't throw the towel until there's nothing cooking about the third week of Feb, but I'm getting my towel ready. Of course, even the upstate has had some big snows even mid to late March, but let's be honest, this isn't the 70s or 80s anymore. March is pretty much a Spring month for us. Even the good March NC had a couple years ago did nothing for SC. Unless we get a quick reload to a better pattern (than we've had since early Dec) it's not going to be pretty. On the other hand, as my dad has always said, "you never can tell about fishing and the weather!"

Well here's two more: Mondays system we get nothing due to drying from downsloping winds. Wednesday we'll see a couple tenths of QPF but the mountains will delay the cold so it will be all rain. I'm sure the final shot, next Fri/Sat we'll be too far north, or we'll get the perfect track with no cold or...

I LOVE the upstate!

We're living in the WRONG place my friend, we can't even get fantasy snow right now!

How about the "In Your Dreams" model!

If we could just get that low to off the coast of Brunswick GA and bomb there...

DOn't fall for the Euro clown maps! I have before - they're about as useful as a DGEX (ahem, Feb 2014...)

Unbelievable isn't it?

Sorry it's already 2:54! Couldn't resist...