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sussexcountyobs

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Everything posted by sussexcountyobs

  1. sussexcountyobs
    What's up PS brother. I knew this storm was coming, and called in a vacation day for Monday this past Wednesday.
  2. sussexcountyobs
    Why is that impossible? At least for a time?
  3. sussexcountyobs
    We are prepared. Extra crews are on standby.
  4. sussexcountyobs
    As a laymen who doesn't really understand how to analyze these models, is there still a stall off Delmarva or Atlantic City? Or if not a stall, a retrograde?
  5. sussexcountyobs
    Trend anymore what way?
  6. sussexcountyobs
    I am thinking they will issue a Watch here at their 4pm update. I assume because we were teetering on the edge of warning level snows and they wanted to wait to see what models did today.
  7. sussexcountyobs
    Maybe a dumb question, but what is this Kuchera ratio? It always seems higher than other guidance.
  8. sussexcountyobs
    That's not much precip on that map unless I'm reading it wrong?
  9. sussexcountyobs
    What's final? So it's set in stone now?
  10. sussexcountyobs
    I get it. But my real reason for that post was that means they think moisture will be pretty far north. That may be a good sign for the interior?
  11. sussexcountyobs
    I commented about that about 6am this morning.
  12. sussexcountyobs
    I understand fully. But look at the totals surrounding it. This is not an elevation storm, and areas south of there are high elevations also in Ulster. Probably higher I believe.
  13. sussexcountyobs
    That 5-6" amount blob north of Ulster county seems odd?
  14. sussexcountyobs
    I'd say he's going with Euro.
  15. sussexcountyobs
    I was scratching my head about that also?
  16. sussexcountyobs
    For the interior, we need a 40-50 mile jog northwest.
  17. sussexcountyobs
    Problem is that upper level low in the north Atlantic. Models are picking up on its southwest arm moving further south and west. Hence our storm will be forced to form further south and go east.
  18. sussexcountyobs
    Everyone prays for blocking. Well you got it all January. How'd that work out?
  19. sussexcountyobs
    This has fish storm for heaviest precip written all over it.
  20. sussexcountyobs
    True. But what does that have to do with precip types during a storm? I can see urban development and heat island effect keeping near ground surface temps warmer on a cold clear night. But it will have no effect during a coastal storm. Maybe on accumulation, but not on what's falling from the sky.
  21. sussexcountyobs
    Mt. Holly .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Low pressure will track through the Ohio Valley Sunday and it will transfer its energy to a coastal low Sunday night into Monday. The lows origin will be from the Pacific Ocean, and it will tap into moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as well as the Atlantic Ocean. With high pressure to the north, this provides a good setup for a winter storm to affect the area. Also, the coastal low will likely be slow to move once it does develop near the Delmarva and that is due to blocking high pressure to the north. Therefore, a prolonged period of wintry precipitation is possible for at least portions of the area. Exact details are still uncertain at this time, but it does appear that snow will overspread the area ahead of the primary low Sunday from southwest to northeast. Accumulating snow is likely for most areas during this time. Warmer air will begin to work its way in from the Atlantic Ocean, likely causing snow to mix with and even change to rain Sunday afternoon into Sunday night across the Delmarva into southern New Jersey. The rain/snow line will approach I-95 later Sunday night into Monday, which adds some uncertainty to the forecast in regards to how much accumulation there will be. Coastal low pressure will remain near the Delmarva Coast Monday through Monday night before slowly moving off to the east Tuesday. A prolonged period of wintry precipitation is likely to continue Monday and Monday night, especially near and north of Interstate 95. Rain or rain changing to snow is more likely farther south into southern Jersey and the Delmarva. Significant snow accumulations are possible, especially for areas where snow does not mix with or change to rain. Snow may continue Tuesday and Tuesday evening, but with the low slowly departing it does appear that precipitation rates will decrease. It seems like as of now, Mt. Holly does not see the low hugging the coast and moving north or northeast. But, east, from the Delmarva.
  22. sussexcountyobs
  23. sussexcountyobs
    Where do I sign?
  24. sussexcountyobs
    Not liking these south trends at all on the models today.
  25. sussexcountyobs
    So again all knowledgeable one. As of tonight, what's your forecast for this Sunday thru Tuesday?
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