Winter storm watch is already posted for Sullivan and Deleware county in NY. My latest forecast from NWS is basically a nothing burger. Rain/snow mix. Light snow accumulation.
It's all about where the capture takes place, stalls, and does it's little retrograde loop. No model will have a handle on it till probably late tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow night.
It's actually all snow here. Plow just game by salting. Not sticking on roads yet. They had plow down? Probably just wearing them out to justify next year's budget.