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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    Roanoke and southwestern crew LOVE the EPS. I’d say tomorrow night we’re still seeing the same thing I will really start to get my hopes up. It’s been a long A$$ time since accumulating snow has taken place.
  2. Buddy1987
    WOW! No words for the 18z. With the 12Z EPS showing some big hits hoping we can start reeling this one in.
  3. Buddy1987
    Man what a refreshing animation to see, ESP coming from the Euro. Can’t remember the last time 50/60/70 probs were down this way. Still will believe it when I see it Friday night and it’s still showing it..
  4. Buddy1987
    Haven’t had a dusting down this way the entire winter season. Would be really nice to at least get something measurable. Hoping for once this winter the GFS can score a coup.
  5. Buddy1987
    At this juncture I will literally take any type of crippling winter storm. I don’t give a shit if it’s 4” of sleet or 2” of ice. This year has been unreal.
  6. Buddy1987
    For this winters standards, that’s a nuking of central NC by the 18z GFS. Unfortunately the way this year has gone, I would say we have a better shot of trying to gamble on a fart with the stomach bug than actually gambling on this evolution coming to fruition. I hope I’m wrong but it’s either going to suppress significantly or cut like hell.. no in-between it seems like. Suppression may make some happy in here in all honesty so we’ll see what happens.
  7. Buddy1987
    Damn.. lolll happy hour Central NC nuking for this winters standards at 168. Fringed even down this way.
  8. Buddy1987
    What a day that would be haha! The GFS is the equivalent of a late 80s 4Runner that’s on its last leg. There’s no fixing it so they just keep performing oil changes in hopes it’ll last.
  9. Buddy1987
    GFS taking it’s sweet time tonight… not like it can be trusted in any capacity so there’s that..
  10. Buddy1987
    IF and it’s a big if this year, the models continue to advertise a 1042 HP parked in that area as we draw closer, can we think that it may be under-doing the strength of cad etc..? Or do the mid levels cook because of the primary if taken at face value?
  11. Buddy1987
    Nuked by GFS 81 west. No way I’m getting pulled into this until Monday at least.
  12. Buddy1987
    1/-8.4 as of 615.
  13. Buddy1987
    7 degrees outside. Wind chill of -4 with winds 30-40. Perfect time to go out, cook a tomahawk, and slam a beer!
  14. Buddy1987
    Key to watch is the convective type nature of showers in central AL as to how they progress when the swing takes place. Those hold together that’s where I’ll be very interested.
  15. Buddy1987
    I agree man. Was just looking at the 01z HRRR and it brings a pretty healthy band, at least down this way. Would be nice to wake up surprised. Regardless temps are gonna be wild to see bottom out.
  16. Buddy1987
    Yea now that I look I was a little surprised myself. 01z shows a decently healthy band coming through.
  17. Buddy1987
    Now I’m wondering if I’m starting to have radar hallucinations. Did runs have that much moisture to our south and west? @Met1985got me hahahaha
  18. Buddy1987
    @strongwxncthat Buffalo forecast is unreal! I grew up in CT and my best friend, his father has had season tickets to the Bills game, as he grew up just outside Orchard Park. That is life threatening the conditions that are about to transpire up that way. Incredible forecast with 1-3 ft and winds to 70. WOW!
  19. Buddy1987
    Disappointing seeing some of the obs in here. Thought some of us might be ripping for a little. ALL rain and 32.9/32 here.
  20. Buddy1987
    My sister lives in Jamestown, CO which is about 40 miles north of Denver. They are down to -3 and heavy snow. Have about 2-3” and counting. Pretty impressive to say the least.
  21. Buddy1987
    I was literally just thinking the same thing looking at it. Very odd. Even the GFS is colder. Would be very weird for NAM to not examine the depth of the cad etc.. with its physics built in to handle events like this.
  22. Buddy1987
    Anyone happen to have freezing rain amounts from 18z euro? I don’t have access to the products unfortunately. Most 18z models I saw bumped up amounts down this way.
  23. Buddy1987
    32/24 down here in SW VA. Happy with any frozen precip at this point. Hoping to see things overperform for everyone.
  24. Buddy1987
    Nice spread on the temp to dew point ratio as well! That’s like a 7 degree drop in temp if precip came in right now.
  25. Buddy1987
    I feel like looking at the various 12z model runs we shouldn't overlook some of the total freezing rain qpf output. Half of some of those totals would create problems. This go around as well temps have been well below freezing.
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