Gonna need it trend a little warmer aloft I think for widespread 95+. Euro/GFS are around 18c or so at 850. I wanna see 19-20c with good mixing to lock 95+. Either way low 90s should be doable
Barring any cirrus contamination, Monday looks like overperformer to me. Models probably under mixing. AIFS popping mid-upper 60s across interior E MA.
Yeah should know when those better echoes move in. Paint peeler here now with pixie dust. Tend to think its a good sign we went straight sleet without much rain, but time will tell.
Euro op and AIFS are just about the coldest guidance at the sfc tonight. Euro op has definitely been cold biased at night lately, but i havent really noticed it with AIFS. Gonna be interesting to see how well it advects southwest.