Go Kart Mozart
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Everything posted by Go Kart Mozart
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My Nammy loves me, and still pouring snow at 84hrs.
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There are times that I wish we didn't have models, satellites, etc. Just hand drawn maps based on upstream observations, the smell of the air, changes in wind, and horse sense. Thinking back to my childhood in the 60s, surprise storms were the best.
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I feel it too, we've seen this happen to western CT many times before. But....the best weenie bands often show up where they were not modelled. Case in point, December 16th, my friend in Grantham, NH, a former pro forecaster, was hoping to get some accumulating snow...he got 38".
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Regrets for someone in about 20 mins
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Canadian OD'd on Viagra?
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While the Canadian puts a 980 low over Nantucket at 132hrs....but I fear the ukie, euro often follows suit.
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CMC bringing it to SWCT tonight.
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Still good for SWCT.
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Fetch me
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Western ridge much higher at 126hrs on GFS
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For those of you interested in discussing weather forecasting rather than how to measure your weenie, Tip has started a thread for this storm.
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Euro precip field looks a lot like March 1958, in the KU book. That one had huge snows in NEMD and SEPA, moderate in NYC and CT, big agin into EMass.
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So Scooter can also be called, "Son of Norlun"?
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If you get a north wind with the 510dm lobe overhead, you can do quite well. No low level inversion layer.
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James, the one thing I will say is that the Cape looks good for OES on Thursday and Friday. That lobe coming over your head is at 510dm, with a good northerly fetch, -20 at h850. Please give us the full analysis.
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Then
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Is that from last night?
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Geez, I was thumbing through KU Volume I today....and that's a spitting image of March 1958. At the surface, that one was a primary over OH, redeveloping near Norfolk. The end result was not pretty for most of NE. 30"+ over SEPA and NEMD. Good hit in Poconos, with another max near Fitchburg. Also, I saw where K&U like the NAO block on the eastern shore of Greenland, not the Davis straight area.
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0z NAM. lol at the Mid-Atlantic
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After looking at the 12z GFS...it's on to February. Edit, it's on to Tuesday, lol.
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As a blockbuster, sure. But we can move the blues 75 miles in four days and get the season's second best event for the south coast.
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I am not giving up until 12z Monday. The 6z gfs has the Tuesday POS some 8-12mb weaker as it approaches the Azores than what was shown at 0z. Unfortunately upstream took a small step in the wrong direction. The vertical stacking my be too much to overcome in any case...but we've seen late moves to the north before.
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The other problem is that the storm stacks vertically early and big. It would need to come very close to hit SNE...maybe north of Cape May.
