Go Kart Mozart

let's hope not, lol

It's funny you mention the waters, I was just looking at this 5 minutes ago. Actually quite cold until you reach the Gulf Stream.

This from GaWx on the main board: Wow! The chance for a major, and possibly even an extreme SSW in early Jan is even higher! On Jan 9th, the EPS mean of 101 members shows a mere 14 m/s vs climo way up at 35! There are so many members with a major SSW that it will be tough to count! This appears to be at a whopping 45%+ for a major, easily the highest yet beating yesterdays ~38%. This has ~~30% of the 101 members down to sub -10 m/s, 12 sub -20, 8 sub -25, and 2 sub -30: carolina dude and yoda 2 Quote Regardless of what ends up happening wxwise this winter, I'm 100% accepting of whatever occurs.

Yeah, I sure would like to see that day 16 and 17 GFS

2 days into meteorological winter....and nothing. It's a dead ratter.

I find Bluewave to be very knowledgeable, and I understand the arguments from him and others that this will be another lousy winter. I hope he is wrong, but I respect his thoughts.

Not much in the way of storms, but a solidly BN month, I'll call it a win.

You don't agree with the hour 350 mega-blizzard?

Is it a gene we share?

I thought the same thing. Maybe he/she lives up the Rte 2 hill to the west of downtown.

Check out Iowa State vs. Kansas State on TV, snow game!

If I ignore the amber colors and just look at the shape of the December pattern...I would expect a cooler result.

I finally have had a chance to read the whole thing. Great research Ray, very educational for us amateurs. I hope you err on the low side!

It's the day-10 euro, but that shortwave near the Quad Cities is dynamite.

Now that's a mangled metaphor.

A lot of ENE recorded their strongest gusts ever in that storm. This map is on the clown-edge, but it's a big problem for south-facing bays and inlets.

You didn't get the mangled flakes on 11/1?

Damn the pattern is looking interesting. Maybe not for specific storm threats, but the positioning of the features, the crazy amplitude...wowzers!

The operationals in the longer range....Geez!

Gracias

This may be all sound and fury signifying nothing, but there is a lot of talk on certain websites about the current solar cycle coming to an early peak. Any thoughts?

I post this 384 map as an academic exercise only....note the 1042 HP at the surface over Greenland, with very low heights. Normally, I would expect to see elevated heights with a 1042 high. Can a pro educate me....how can the atmosphere be so heavy and yet so cold aloft? And for more fun, check out the 2m temps under that high. "Real cold".

I thought he lost his fortune at the Wampanoag casino?

Damn, that's close to a destructive storm. Maybe a half day faster with the TC, or slower with the trough.