A technical question for a pro...just for personal knowledge - how long does it take for a snowflake passing through a +0 layer to turn into a sleet pellet? For instance, on this sounding, is that enough time above 0 to melt the flake?
This is not researched by me...but it seems like the Aussies have had the best handle on MJO this winter. They have it circling the drain just slightly on the good side of the COD. At least the MJO state should not be an inhibitor as we move later into February. My target date for the blizzard of 23 remains 2/28.