The tic between 12z and 18z pretty sizeable. The whole operation is more sheared, with the trough more positively tilted, we need one more like that...or does that make the damn thing too weak to draw the cold air? No winning this year.
I recall two 3" sleet storms that year. And I'll tell you, 3" of sleet is as much of a winter driving/shoveling problem as 12" of snow...maybe more so!
It's funny, but one of my closest friends growing up had grandparents in Webster. I learned some good Yiddish from them. One phrase in particular sticks in my mind...I will probably butcher this, but....."halt deinen mund du Trottl du!"
Well, the euro day 10 looks promising for day 12 or so. It's all I got down here: Back when JB was a real meteorologist he would point out the trough to the east of Hawaii as key: