Go Kart Mozart

For me? That NAM solution is about as likely as a 400lb escaped Sterling CT sow flying out of my ass (ginny will know what that means).

That 850 line is oh so close!

Was 97-98 the super el nino year? I remember BM bombs....and it wasn't even close to snow.

Yes. Dickens might have written something like this: "It was the best of climes, it was the worst of climes..."

Academic question - what the hell am I looking at here? Saturation below 700 and above 500, but in between, what is that?

Merry Christmas table setter? Nothing like a 582 NAO block

Faulty memory on my part. After spending an hour researching MNF results, It seems to have been 11/20/1989.....ushering in a very cold six weeks.

It was a Monday night in 1993. I remember it was a Redskins game, and all hell breaking out at RFK. An hour later it hit us. That front ushered in a great winter.

You beat me to it.

What do the yearly's show for 2026/27?

It's funny, but the 12z euro finds ways to keep us fairly cold over the next 10 days. Sorta "overachieving in a lowzy pattern".

let's hope not, lol

It's funny you mention the waters, I was just looking at this 5 minutes ago. Actually quite cold until you reach the Gulf Stream.

This from GaWx on the main board: Wow! The chance for a major, and possibly even an extreme SSW in early Jan is even higher! On Jan 9th, the EPS mean of 101 members shows a mere 14 m/s vs climo way up at 35! There are so many members with a major SSW that it will be tough to count! This appears to be at a whopping 45%+ for a major, easily the highest yet beating yesterdays ~38%. This has ~~30% of the 101 members down to sub -10 m/s, 12 sub -20, 8 sub -25, and 2 sub -30: carolina dude and yoda 2 Quote Regardless of what ends up happening wxwise this winter, I'm 100% accepting of whatever occurs.

Yeah, I sure would like to see that day 16 and 17 GFS

2 days into meteorological winter....and nothing. It's a dead ratter.

I find Bluewave to be very knowledgeable, and I understand the arguments from him and others that this will be another lousy winter. I hope he is wrong, but I respect his thoughts.

Not much in the way of storms, but a solidly BN month, I'll call it a win.

You don't agree with the hour 350 mega-blizzard?

Is it a gene we share?

I thought the same thing. Maybe he/she lives up the Rte 2 hill to the west of downtown.

Check out Iowa State vs. Kansas State on TV, snow game!

If I ignore the amber colors and just look at the shape of the December pattern...I would expect a cooler result.

I finally have had a chance to read the whole thing. Great research Ray, very educational for us amateurs. I hope you err on the low side!

It's the day-10 euro, but that shortwave near the Quad Cities is dynamite.