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Go Kart Mozart

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Everything posted by Go Kart Mozart

  1. The hurricane passes in about 9 days or so, then.....
  2. Just noise, otherwise seems locked in.
  3. Of course the one thing I root against will happen.
  4. Moderators, please get the political crap out of here.
  5. Or there is Skynet, which absolutely wrecks Cuban agriculture across the entire island.
  6. The last time I saw this....James's novel....
  7. The signals are vague and way out in time, but I don't like this one bit. My spidey sense tells me a hurricane is a-commin.
  8. The once-mighty Pequannock is a mere trickle. Much like the Colorado as it reaches the Gulf of California.
  9. I hope so, we have been 7-10'd a lot this summer down here.
  10. I am seeing ridge west, trough centered around ORD, and a big old WAR. Looking hurricane-ish?
  11. Centralia, in down-state Illinois, seems like a pleasant spot today....94/81.
  12. Nah, I'm bad luck. It never snows when I start the thread.
  13. Do we dread August so much that we will eschew the monthly thread?
  14. I drove through Monterey a few days later. Amazing to see acres upon acres of trees snapped like matchsticks about 15' off the ground.
  15. As I understand the AI models, they do initialize with the same data as the physical models....radiosonde, satellite, etc. So they aren't completely "anti-physics". The AI models already seem to be ahead of the physical models in many respects, although in my entirely empirical observation, the physics models are still better within a few days. A blend is indicated now, but I agree, quantum computing will change everything.
  16. Why the skepticism? Even at ECMWF, they say the AIFS beats the ECMWF in the majority of cases. They do feel that the physics-based models are better at handling the extreme events, which makes sense, in that extreme events have little historical precedent. It would seem that a combination of the two is the best approach now, but I would look for AI to become the go-to soon. Then comes quantum computing, ha ha!
  17. Enjoy the heat and dews while you can. The Captain has come over the intercom and asked us to extinguish our smoking materials and put our seats in the upright position. Our descent into autumn has begun!
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