Go Kart Mozart
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Everything posted by Go Kart Mozart
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For several years now we have seen forecasts of big midwestern blizzards a week out fizzle. I suspect the 10th will be weaker, and battling the CAD. Although, I wouldn't mind a big-dog out there, those are often table setters for us.
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Now that's the old George we all know and love!
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I'll alert the media.
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Yeah, we need Hazey to get his blizzard on the 5th a la the GFS.
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Nice Hazey
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Euro and GFS with significant MJO differences in January. Let's hope euro is right...or February could be in some trouble.
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That's interesting. I look at the analysis page on TT, and see an anomaly of about 1.6c in 3.4. Am I comparing apples and hammers?
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At first yes, but what if the model is self-educating and learns from past errors? Isn't that where we are heading with AI? Imagine a (dystopian) world where the weather models are flawless...what would we do to entertain ourselves?
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Surprising wind on the backside.
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You mowed the lawn on Christmas day? The neighbors must love you.
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Are their any stats on the accuracy of the weeklies post day 14? I would guess they have a proficiency between 50% and 55%. Coin toss or a tad better.
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What is that stuff they're plowing?
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Isn't it in a nasty valley-snow hole too?
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The fun begins 1/20 to maybe 1/27. A four week spell can make for a great winter down here. I'll bet you have fond memories 2010-2011...or ENE in 14-15. And before some moron chimes in that 2015 is not walking through that door....that's not the point. We can have a great month without 100".
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That sounds like it oughta be funny....but what does it mean?
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The American suite takes the MJO on a robust tour of the bad regions starting in early January. This will have to be watched. Ray's idea of January 20th and beyond seems to be gaining merit...that time frame will also match up with the SSW effects....assuming that actually comes to pass.
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And I wonder if the Gaspe has ever had a green Christmas? Funny how the snow cover line fits the St. Lawrence like a glove.
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This may be all sound and fury signifying nothing....but Nino 1-2 temps have crashed while the rest remains steady eddy.
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Well, Santa didn't come with any big snowstorms on this morning's maps. Merry Christmas everyone!
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A 993 75 miles east of Cape May and it gives us....nothing. That's a neat trick!
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Hmm, I'd rather the humpback whale breath for Labrador than dry air from western Quebec with that gives you a 200 volt shock static electricity every time you touch a metal object. And speaking of static electricity, in the 1888 Great Plains children's blizzard.....according to best guesses they received about 6" of snow, with winds sustained at 50 gusting to 80, with temps falling to -15f. People were literally getting knocked on their asses when they tried to load their wood stoves.
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I still see all sorts of lobes swinging around the gyre, after the rainer. This isn't over. Nothing's over!
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No, but we have a congrats Richmond on the euro!
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95-96 was like a batter closing his eyes while swinging....and doubling up the alley every time.
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Yup, my wife and son were walking the dogs a couple of weeks ago in the woods at the end of Valley View, when they came upon a half-eviscerated, sizeable buck. One of the dogs was very edgy, so they probably hadn't gone far.
