Go Kart Mozart

NAM stronger and further north through 84? I wanted to do no-clown January...but I have already fallen off the wagon.

I know, 2015 isn't walking through the door blah blah blah....but I recall we spent most of January 2015 in a good pattern that just wouldn't produce. I remember frustration levels at an all-time high. Is my memory of that wrong? Always a possibility.

-1.3 at BDR for the month.

Yes, at least until 12z.

Hmm, the ponds don't even freeze there. CC.

Holy boomers, good call WeatherWiz!

40mbs in 18 hours. I was there to enjoy it!

Is this a bit of a squally look for our region?

I love Baja lows.

I only get euro to 144hrs, but man, it looks close to something good on the 6th. Just a bit more separation between the Cape Race low and the James Bay low would do the trick.

Do it!

I am sure we were all thinking the exact same thing.

WTF, is that 492?

I think OceanState posted a good graphical comparison yesterday. While not a panacea, they are good beyond four days...much like an ensemble mean.

My log shows 20" for March, with another 6.5" on April 2nd. Do you see something different? Although the 3/7 event gave me 9" with 2" liquid equivalent. Tashua Hill in Trumbull, at 600', received 16". 3/13 somewhat similar.

Let the widespread panic begin!

Euro AI, lol. I think CoastalWx gave it that label.

Skynet just outside the BM with a whopper:

I have heard that a 10% blend with the Chinese chestnut gives them resistance. Is that accurate?

Second time today I strongly agree with you. The 0z euro will look exactly the same at 6am as it does at 2am.

Ahh, it's exaggerating the block. AI has nothing like that...it shows a different problem, a consolidated bullseye vortex over James Bay. Speaking of AI, I have been watching it closely. It seems to work rather like an ensemble...very good beyond four days, not as good as the operationals within four days. I would surmise that it is better in the longer range because it does not make compounded errors like the operationals. Within four days, the operationals are better as they are making a detailed analysis of the current atmosphere rather than just recognizing patterns.

Of course, his hat was 4 sizes larger than it was pre-roids.

The track has moved 10s of miles here, 10s of miles there. Of course the R/S line has moved 10s of miles along with that. That's impressive model consistency.

If the sun comes out we're gonna roast!

It's funny, but the modeling for the Wednesday rainer has been unwavering for a week now. Why can't we get that with a BM 970?