Go Kart Mozart

So glad you asked. I have been following it closely since the early fall, and so far, it is the best model. Granted, my analysis is for our little area only, and is entirely empirical. Here is a little anecdotal example: I am also active on a Notre Dame football board, where I have installed myself as the weather nerd in-chief. About 5 days ago, it appeared likely that we would be hosting Alabama on the 20th. Of course, I went to the maps hoping for the most miserable cold possible for northern Indiana in December. At that time, gfs and euro showed a nationwide zonal flow, with temps far above normal for SBN. Euro AI on the other hand, had deep winter. I am not ready to spike the ball, since we are only on the 15 yard line, but AI has held fairly steady while the others are showing signs of capitulation. We'll see what happens! I am ready to make this prediction: Next year at this time we will all be going to the AI models first...with occasional references to the "legacy models".

Obviously a depiction error, but still cool to look at!

Survivable....if you had the prescience to stock up at the grocery store the nights before.

The 168hr storm shown on euro seems to be another windy little bugger, at least down here.

At first glance, I thought someone was forecasting the solstice, lol. Euro AI continues to intrigue me...and it has been showing a stormy-wintry look in this time frame.

No inversion layer at all back here, that should "help".

Now this is a funny map!

Nice stinger now. I can't believe this was mostly snow down here. We're on the scoreboard!

Either he videoed that in a mirror or he had his shirt on inside out, but good presentation.

My focus is going to be heavily focused on SBN when The Tide comes calling on 12/20 or 21. I want 10f with wind driven light snow of the "sand" variety.

Is it 1969?

The Villages? Hope he is using a jimmy.

OT, but cool snowricane over SW Michigan:

Say what!?

Go get em Clark!

You say goodbye, and I say hello, hello hello...

I had forgotten....61" here, which is good work for us. The fun began on 12/9....snowstorm during Army/Navy game, ended April 2.

If the MJO projections are accurate (a big if, granted), maybe a 10 day warm up mid-month then fun and games begin again around Christmas.

Nah, it's most of the world.

If nothing else, it looks like Ontario and Quebec will become fully painted in white over the next week or so. That's a step.

Euro AI likes a Norlun at 210 hours...bank on it.

I recall reading somewhere that weeks 3-4 are at about 55-60%? I could be wrong, maybe you have stats on that. In any case my gut tells me that they have not been way more right than wrong the last two years...good Lord...how many beautiful LR maps has BrooklynWX posted over the past two winters that never came to fruition?

Too late. Newman from Seinfeld has already been nominated.

Steelers at Browns on Prime FTW!!!!

Post of the month.