IWXwx

Looks like you made have had a wake low up in your area behind that rain shield this morning. Some pretty healthy gusts reported.

IWX has been beating the strong wind threat for several days. SPC isn't playing ball. These high shear low CAPE fall systems have had a history of producing some blow semis over winds.

You beat me to it. I just popped in to post that. Makes sense and looks interesting for the subforum.

Although I usually don't have much to complain about during fall, I figured we should have a place to banter. The IND discussion this afternoon had some sound scientific advice: SO, IF YOU ARE GOING TO BE OUTSIDE THIS EVENING... LISTEN TO YOUR MOM AND WEAR YOUR COAT.

We could, but with the winds expected to stay up, I'm not planning covering the ol' sensitive vegetation.

Good to see everyone back and ready for winter. The gut says wild, but I don't know how wet. Buckeye, did your daughter graduate? Hopefully you won't have to go back to the hellhole that is Marion, IN. Caveat: The campus is very nice.

Apparently, "flash drought" is being used to describe the current conditions across the South by the National Drought Mitigation Center, a sudden increase in drought conditions as compared the normal slow onset drought. NOAA and the University of Colorado published a summary paper on research concerning the flash drought the Plains endured in 2017. I had never heard this term used before reading this article: https://www.wishtv.com/news/national/flash-drought-worsening-across-14-southern-us-states/

RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 616 AM EDT THU OCT 03 2019 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT INDIANAPOLIS... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES WAS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS YESTERDAY...OCTOBER 2 2019. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 89 SET IN 1953. THE 92 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURE ALSO TIES THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER...WHICH WAS JUST SET THE DAY BEFORE ON OCTOBER 1 2019.

RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 617 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2019 ...NEW DAILY AND MONTHLY RECORD HIGHS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA... A NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR OCTOBER 1 OF 92 DEGREES WAS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 89 SET IN 1897. THIS IS THE SECOND DAY IN A ROW OF SETTING NEW DAILY RECORD HIGHS. TODAY/S HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES ALSO SET A NEW RECORD FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 91 SET ON OCTOBER 8 2007.

Looking forward to 'nado vid that Cyclone is gonna snag

Record daily highs for IND are in jeopardy and the all-time October record may also be threatened on Tuesday. INDY RECORD HIGHS: 9/30: 89 (1971) 10/1: 89 (1897) 10/2: 89 (1953) OCTOBER: 91 (10/8/2007)

Per IWX, it was a national blackout affecting all NWS services. Everything's been moved to backup and should be available now.

....and there it is, you beat me to it Joe. I just told my Director to expect some tornado warnings even though SPC doesn't have ANY threat in Marginal risk area.

Mike Ryan at IND mentions the concern of a rotating storm or two tomorrow afternoon in their CWA. However, although SPC mentions it, they keep the low threat much farther south. REMAIN A TOUCH CONCERNED ABOUT A THREAT FOR A FEW CELLS TO ROTATE WITH FAVORABLE HODOGRAPH PROFILES...INCREASED SHEAR AND HELICITY VALUES...AND LCLS LIKELY TO SETTLE NEAR 1000FT...ESPECIALLY BY LATE DAY. OVERALL INSTABILITY LEVELS MAY NOT BE QUITE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT...BUT CONSIDERING THE PRESENCE OF A DEEP TROPICAL AIRMASS AND THAT MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA IS LIKELY TO BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE WEAKENING SURFACE WAVE TRACK WHERE SHEAR MAY BRIEFLY MAXIMIZE...THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON TUESDAY.

Chicago Storm reporting 2" hail from the storm at Streamwood. I know from experience that will do some damage. I'm getting a new roof due to the May tennis balls.

IWX released information on a second, albeit weak tornado near South Bend. It contains an interesting narrative. .SOUTH BEND TORNADO 2... RATING: EF - 0 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 65 - 70 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.5 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 10 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: JUN 23 2019 START TIME: 832 PM EDT START LOCATION: 2.7 ESE GULIVOIRE PARK START LAT/LON: 41.5929 / -86.2050 END DATE: JUN 23 2019 END TIME: 836 PM EDT END LOCATION: 2.6 ESE GULIVOIRE PARK END_LAT/LON: 41.5999 / -86.2050 SURVEY SUMMARY: VIDEO FOOTAGE INDICATED A SEPARATE WALL CLOUD OUTSIDE THE PARENT MESOCYCLONE SPAWNED A BRIEF, THIN TORNADO THAT TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF ROOSEVELT ROAD AND HAWTHORNE TRAIL. WEST FACING BARN DOORS WERE SLIGHTLY PUSHED IN AS THE NARROW CIRCULATION MOVED NORTH ACROSS THE PROPERTY WITH THE ONLY OTHER DAMAGE NOTED OCCURRING TO SMALL BRANCHES ON A NEARBY TREE. THE TORNADO MOVED NORTH AND IMPACTED A OUTDOOR SCREENED STRUCTURE, DESTROYING IT AS WELL AS REMOVING SIDING AND SHINGLES FROM A DETACHED GARAGE. A RESIDENT WAS OUTSIDE AT THE TIME THE TORNADO STRUCK AND HAD TO HOLD ONTO A BEAM AS THE WIND HIT. A DOG WAS PICKED UP A FEW FEET OFF THE GROUND AND CARRIED TO THE SIDE OF THE HOME AND PLACED DOWN, UNHARMED. THE TORNADO THEN LIFTED SHORTLY AFTER THIS, ALSO SUPPORTED BY VIDEO FOOTAGE.

Here's a video from another angle.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1130 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2019 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/23/2019 TORNADO EVENT... .OVERVIEW... A SHOWER DEVELOPED OVER NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN RESPONSE TO A NNE MOVING MCV. AS THIS SHOWER MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE CITY OF SOUTH BEND IT ENCOUNTERED A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW FROM A PREVIOUS STORM EARLIER IN THE EVENING. THIS ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL FORCING ALLOWED THE STORM TO PRODUCE A BRIEF TORNADO WHICH FORMED SOUTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 20 THEN MOVED NORTH BEFORE LIFTING JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSECTION OF IRONWOOD DRIVE AND INWOOD ROAD. .SOUTH BEND TORNADO... RATING: EF - 2 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115 - 125 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 2 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 200 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: JUN 23 2019 START TIME: 838 PM EDT START LOCATION: 2 ENE GULIVOIRE PARK START LAT/LON: 41.6211 / -862140 END DATE: JUN 23 2019 END TIME: 848 PM EDT END LOCATION: 3 WSW MISHAWAKA END_LAT/LON: 41.6501 / -86.2124

I saw it happening but was too busy to post anything about it at the time. NWS didn't put out a warning until spotters reported a funnel cloud. It was right on the warm front. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1036 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2019 /936 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019/ ...Damage Survey Planned for South Bend Indiana Monday June 24... A survey team will meet with St. Joseph County Emergency Management officials on Monday June 24th to assess the extent of the tornado damage near Ironwood and Ireland Roads as well as adjacent areas.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 439 PM EDT SUN JUN 23 2019 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0411 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE FORTVILLE 39.93N 85.84W 06/23/2019 HANCOCK IN 911 CALL CENTER NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS FORTVILLE.

You're probably right about the reason that it's not being cancelled, but I believe that it's up to the local NWS office to cancel the Watch, although they may consult with SPC.

"Gilbert Sebenste (via spotternetwork.org) @ 19:43 UTC -- (S) Funnel -- -- Spotter is 1 miles SSW of DE KALB, IL (DeKalb county) [41.917/-88.762] -- Funnel cloud begin at 2:35 PM, starting to dissipate at 2:43 PM. I am looking at it 1 mile west-northwest of this location, on the underside of a towering cumulus cloud. Came halfway to the ground, before gradually lifting. Moving almost due north. Rope-shaped funnel with a pointed end; no debris on the ground noted; likely a landspout. Funnel has just lifted at 2:45 PM."

IND issued a t-storm warning that ends at your back door. Looks like there could be some strong winds rolling through Indy that looks to run right up Pendleton Pike.

It probably won't match the 40+ in the subforum from a couple of weeks ago, but we should end up in double digit tornadoes in Indiana. IND has teams looking at Rush, Bartholomew, Decatur, and Hancock Counties today. EDIT: Survey team found EF-2 damage south of Rushville.

Seeing reports of a possible touchdown in Henry County, Ohio about 4 hours ago